Will Price of Gold and Silver rise further and again fall?: Commentary on bullion and stocks

Precious Metals

Last day, Gold made a low of 1085.70 while Silver made a low of 14.60. With stop loss of 1085, 14.50, hold long position in Gold and Silver.

Today is a positive day. In US session, more of positive trend is expected. This positivity shall continue for next day.  By next day, Gold can go up to 1120+ & Silver can go up to 15.40+.

It is possible that Monday could also be an upward day for bullion but we aren’t very sure about tt.

From 28th July 2015, vertical fall may be seen, which may continue till 30th / 31st July 2015.

Again from 4th August (+/- 1 day), bullion shall enter a positional bullish phase.

For now, it is advisable to cover 80% of your long position on Friday and hold only 20% for Monday.

GLOBAL Stock INDICES

US Stock market shall be positive with volatility till 27th July 2015. And then onwards, Uranus shall retrograde in Pisces zodiac. From that point, a big correction may be observed in Stock market.

Stock market shall be uncertain for today but positive for next day.

Hold / build long position in S&P500 with S/L 2098 for TGT 2120-2125.

INDIAN Stock MARKET

Indian market shall be uncertain for the day.

At higher level, selling is expected.

Next day, market can trade positive.

Before Expiry, Nifty can drop below 8400 & Bank Nifty can drop below 18500.

You can build 50% PU T OPTIONS IN NIFTY FUT JULY CONTRACT for target of 8500 & 50% BANK NIFTY FUT JULY CONTRACT for target of 18800. By expiry, these options can give you a lottery! If my view is wrong, your loss shall be minimal but if it goes right, you’ll gain a great sum.

TRADING RANGE:

  • NIFTY FUT:8660-8510
  • BANK NIFTY:19150-18700

BUY ON DIPS:

  • ZEE
  • SKS MICRO
  • COAL INDIA
  • LIC
  • BPCL
  • HPCL

VAKRANGI

(We had made long position in this Stock @ 145, you are advised to book 50% profit around 185-190. It is currently trading at 165.

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Part of newsletter sent on 15th July 2015

GLOBAL Stock INDICES

On 15th July 2015, it is the “NEW MOON” and an eventful day. Mars shall enter Punarvasu nakshatra at 20.30 HRS IST. This shall bring a trend reversal for Stock market. If US market closes negative today, it shall continue to be negative till 20th July 2015. The last low made 2034 could be re-tested.

After 20th July, market shall enter in bullish pattern and continue till October 2015.

Next day seems to be unpredictable and so trade with caution.

In first half, Asian market shall be positive for today.

Closing of Asian market can be flat to negative.

European market as well can close bearish today.

If European market closes bearish today, this weakness shall continue with volatility till 20th July 2015.

Precious Metals

It is the last day for bearishness in bullion. Bullion shall take a U turn after making a low. If the level of 1150 is breached, Gold may drop to 1141.  Similarly, Silver can drop to 14.90.

After 20.30 HRS IST, bullion shall take a U turn i.e. move upward.

Next day seems to be positive for bullion.

This positivity shall continue.

Around 1,155-1,157, book profit in long position in Gold & 15.37-15.45, book profit in long position in Silver.

Buy back bullion at lower levels in evening and hold.

Positional traders can hold GOLD with s/l 1138 & SILVER with s/l 14.70.

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Copy of Newsletter sent on 17th March 2015

Here’s a part of today’s newsletter clearly showcasing the ‘up’ trend in bullion!

Global Stock Indices

It is “Shravan” nakshatra today. Owing to this, market can turn volatile & witness profit booking at higher level.

Around 20.15 HRS IST, Moon shall enter “ghanishta” nakshtra. American market shall then, enter positive phase, which would continue till 20th March 2015. You are advised to make long position on dips today.

S&P500 can go up to 2,-00. You can long at dips.

Energy, Power, IT, Communication, Nuclear, Healthcare, Pharmaceuticals, FMCG, Automobile sector shall be supportive. You are advised to BUY S&P500 on dips & hold for target 2,-00.

Precious Metals

Bullion shall be weak till 14.30 HRS IST. And then onwards, it shall be range bound. Around 20.15 HRS IST, bullion will start moving up. After UK opening next day, there could be a temporary bullishness prevalent.

The bullishness that starts from 20.00 HRS IST, shall continue till 19th’s US closing. In this time period, Gold & Silver shall cross 1,180, 16.10 respectively.

You are advised to long bullion at lower levels & hold till 19th March 2015.

There are chances that Gold could even go as high as 1,-00 by 19th March.

On Friday, at higher levels, you can make short position in bullion.

TRADING RANGE:

– GOLD : 1,145-1,165

-SILVER:15.30-15.80

INDUSTRIAL METALS

Copper shall follow the trend of bullion and other base metals. You can long Copper after American opening. 

INDIAN Stock MARKET

Indian market shall have gap up opening. After opening, profit booking is indicated.

After 10.30 HRS IST, trend shall be positive. Till closing, trend shall be positive.

Overall, trend is bullish till 20th March 2015. Maintain “buy on dips” strategy for Indian equities. In this time period, Nifty can go up to 8,900 while Bank Nifty can try to cross 19,500.

TRADING RANGE:

-NIFTY FUT: 8,600-8,800

-BANK NIFTY: 18,800-19,400

BUY ON DIPS:

-HPCL

-BPCL

-JSW STEEL

-JSW ENERGY

-TATA MOTORS

-RANBAXY

-WIPRO

-YES BANK

-SBI

-TATA STEEL

-CENTURY TEXTILE

-LUPIN

TRADING RANGE & LEVELS :: ONLY FOR MEMBERS

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Predictions for week : 16th to 20th March 2015

GLOBAL Stock INDICES

This week shall be overall positive. It is advisable to maintain “buy on dips” strategy from Tuesday. From Wednesday, market shall shoot up. This upward move shall last till 20th March 2015. On 20th March 2015, profit booking is expected at higher level.

Overall, market is positive till 25th March 2015. Any time between 25th March & 2nd April 2015, a sharp fall is indicated (especially on 29th, 30th, 31st March, 1-2 April) in global equity indices.

In the current week (16-20th), Monday is expected to be range bound to mix trend. On Tuesday, positive trend is expected.

On Wednesday, markets shall shoot up which would continue till Friday.

Lower level for S&P500 in this week: 2,030

Higher level for S&p500 in this week: 2,080

Maintain “BUY ON DIPS” for this week.

In this week, oil & gas, energy, information technology, auto sector shall be positive.

You are advised to long S&P500 next day.

Precious Metals

In last week, Gold made a low of 1,146 while Silver made a low of 15.25. Gold closed at 1,157 & Silver closed at 15.62 last Friday. Monday & Tuesday are expected to be highly volatile to slightly bearish.  By tomorrow, Gold can again drop to 1,145 while Silver can drop to 15.25.

From 18th March 2015, it is expected to move up, which would continue till 19th’s US closing / 20th’s 10.30 HRS (IST).

Strategy for this week:

-You are advised to skip trading till 18th March 2015.

-Buy Gold & Silver on 18th March 2015 and book profit by Thursday’s US closing / Friday’s Asian opening (10.30 HRS IST).  There itself, you can build short position in bullion. On 20th, a sharp decline is indicated after 10.30 HRS IST. This sharp fall shall continue with ups & downs till the end of month.

INDIAN Stock MARKET

Indian market shall have negative opening. From 11.00 HRS IST, it shall move up. Overall, trend is expected to be mixed for the day.

From next day & till 20th March 2015, trend shall be positive. Maintain “buy on dips” strategy for Indian equities.

Between 25th March and 2nd April 2015, there are chances of a sharp fall in Indian market. Kindly be alert about this.

TRADING RANGE:

-NIFTY FUT: 8,600-8,750

-BANK NIFTY: 18,800-19,200

BUY ON DIPS:

-RELIANCE INDUSTRIES

-BHARAT FORGE

-JSW ENERGY

-MARUTI

-M&M

-ASTRA MICRO FINANCE

-APOLLO HOSPITAL

-CENTURY TEXTILES

-GLENMARK PHARMA

-AUROBINDO PHARMA

-BIOCON

Trading Range & Trading LEVELS:: ONLY FOR MEMBERS

Answers to your questions on BULLION, EQUITIES & CURRENCIES

WHEN WILL NIFTY DROP BELOW 8,000?
WHEN WILL BANK NIFTY DROP BELOW 17,000?

WILL WE WITNESS S&P500 AGAIN AT 1,800.. ?? WHEN??

WILL DOLLAR INDEX AGAIN DROP BELOW 87.00?? BUT WHEN?

WILL EURO CROSS 1.300 IN 2015? IF YES THEN WHEN?

Remember, USD/INR was at 70.00 in 2013 & we’d predict the same. What’s the fate of USD/INR ? Is USD/INR again going to touch the high of 70.00?? If yes but when??

WHEN WILL GOLD HAVE AN ACTUAL BULLISH TREND? WHEN WILL GOLD CROSS 1,300??
WHEN WILL SILVER CROSS 18.00??

WHEN WILL SILVER AGAIN DROP TO 14.00??
WHEN WILL GOLD AGAIN DROP TO 1,100??

When will COPPER move highly bullish?
When will CRUDE oil cross 65.00??

When will NG be dancing at peak?

MCX;
When will Gold cross 28,000?? When will Silver cross 41,000??
Will GOLD again drop below 25,000… but when??
Will SILVER again drop below 33,000… but when??

Several Questions .

..
.
..
..
……
…………………….
& Just One Answer!

===
ORDER ANNUAL LETTER 2015.

We don’t JUST SELL YOU THE ANNUAL LETTER but also ensure of notifying important changes (for medium term trend).

Important Note: 90% of predictions mentioned in ANNUAL LETTER 2014 were correct.

YOU CAN PRE-ORDER THE ANNUAL LETTER FOR 100$(=5,999 INR) THIS WEEK.
FROM NEXT WEEK, THE PRICE SHALL BE 150$ (=8,999 INR).

The ANNUAL LETTER 2015 is available in HARD COPY as well as ELECTRONIC COPY.

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Trend to reverse in Gold today for 3 – 4 days

Global Stock Indices

Stock market witnessed another correction in the previous trading session. We had also alerted that a bad news (such as a financial centric one) could come up. Our analysis provided to be right and the fall of energy stocks in American market led to drop. S&P500 dropped from 2,056 to 2,029.

It is expected that market may witness a trend reversal in a day or two.

In next week, till the FOMC announcement, market is expected to be in recovering mode. Post FOMC announcement, market may again witness a series of correction / fall.

This bear mode will be at a mightier scale in the month of January 2015 (especially after first week). Under this time frame (i.e. in Jan 2015), S&P500 could drop down to as low as 1,940.

The year 2015 is not so good for equities. With ups and downs, this bearish mode shall continue till July 2015.

After 18th December 2014, any time, people will lose interest or hope from equities.  Their preference may shift to bullion.

In the previous trading session, you had bought S&P500 and booked profit @ 2,055. We hope you made good profit! Today as well, you are supposed to buy back S&P500 with s/l 2,000 for target 2,055-2,075.

BUY DOW FUT with s/l 17,400 for target 17,800+.

European markets as well are expected to recover in a day or two.

22,900 is a major support for HANG SENG INDEX. With S/L of 22,900, you are advised to long HSI for target 23,800.

Trend For Today: Market shall be back in recovering mode and the entire trend of previous day shall be revisited.

TRADING RANGE:: ONLY FOR MEMBERS

Precious Metals

Today onwards, Precious Metals shall start declining.

Gold can drop to —- or below while Silver can drop to –.–.        This bearish trend with volatility shall continue till 17th December 2014.

TRADING RANGE:

–          GOLD : 1,229-1,214

–          SILVER:17.30-16.90

Monday seems to be especially negative for the trend in bullion.

INDIAN Stock MARKET

Indian market shall again recover today. However, highly volatile trend / uncertain trend is expected.

BANK NIFTY shall prove to be more supportive than NIFTY FUT.

Major support for NIFTY FUT: 8,300.

Major support for BANK NIFTY FUT: 18,200.

With the major support as stop loss, long NIFTY FUT & BANK NIFTY FUT for target 8,390-8,420; 18,600-18,750 respectively.

 

TRADING RANGE:

n  NIFTY FUT: 8,320-8,440

n  BANK NIFTY: 18,200-18,700

BUY:

HINDALCO

CROMPTON GREAVES

IDFC

LIC HOUSING

BANK OF INDIA

CANARA BANK

OBC

RELIANCE CAPITAL

The next week shall be supportive for Indian Stock market. For details, kindly wait for the weekly letter.

Updated at 12/12/2014 7:55 AM (IST) 

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What’s next in stock and bullion? Will S&p500 decline more?

Stock Markets Around the globe

Last day, DOW FUT made a low of 16,600 while S&P500 made a low of 1,919. For today, some recovery may be observed. It is advisable to short indices at higher level (for instance- Short S&P500 FUT@ 1,960-1,965, DOW FUT @ 16,850-900. By 18th October 2014, S&P500 (F) could drop to 1,905-1,880 while DOW(F) could drop to 16,400-16,200).

TRADING RANGE:

–        DOW FUT: 16,650-16,880

–        S&P500 FUT:1,935-1,962

–        NASDAQ FUT:3,960-4,015

–        FTSE FUT: 6,410-6,490

–        CAC FUT : 4,240-4,330

–        DAX FUT: 9,200-9,350

–        HANG SENG:22,500-22,780

–        AEX:406-413

Precious Metals

A sharp decline may be seen in bullion today. Stay away from Gold and Silver for the day.

However from 20.30 HRS IST, recovery may be observed. If this mentioned recovery is seen in market then bullion shall start moving up. Otherwise, bullion shall turn positive from Monday.

TRADING RANGE:

–        GOLD :1,219-1,204

–        SILVER:17.30-16.80

INDUSTRIAL METALS

Mixed trend is expected in Copper.

Trading Range:

–        COPPER:3.03-3.05

ENERGY PRODUCTS

CRUDE OIL & NATURAL GAS

Crude Oil made a low of 89.90. Crude Oil and NG are uncertain for today as well. For once, Crude may drop down to 88/85.

Trading Range:

–        CRUDE: 92.50-89.00

–        NG:3.88-4.05

CURRENCIES

EURO

A sharp correction is expected in EUR/USD today.

In the previous trading session, EUR/USD made a high of 1.2690.

For today, EUR/USD can break 1.2500.

INDIAN RUPEE (USD/INR)

HOLIDAY

DOLLAR INDEX

Dollar Index shall move up for the day.

TRADING RANGE:

– EUR/USD: 1.2680-1.2480

-USD/INR(SPOT):CLOSED

-DOLLAR INDEX:85.70-86.50

 

US 10 YR-TREASURY BOND

For today, bonds shall drop.

TRADING RANGE:

-US 10 YR T BOND:2.40-2.52

INDIAN Stock MARKET

Owing to  dussehra, Indian market shall remain closed for the day.

On Monday as well, owing to Eid, it’s a holiday.

TRADING RANGE:

–  NIFTY FUT:CLOSED

-BANK NIFTY:CLOSED

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30th September 2014: View on the Indian and Global Economy; What’s next in bullion?

Future of India and Narendra Modi

Narendra Modi is on a trip to the United States. It is for the first time that an Indian Prime Minister is being welcomed with such a great honor. A question strikes our mind- if this trip would be beneficial for employment in India? If you see this from the point of view of astrology, the efforts of Mr. Narendra Modi would start showing up results by December 2014.

After 1st week of December 2014, great growth shall be seen.

FDI would rise and the Indian economy would get a sound boost-up, improving employment opportunities for its citizen.

The masses of India would be able to see the kind of good work that NAMO is doing.  The impact would be seen on the Indian market from November 2014. Indian market shall move up from then onwards and shall remain positive for next year.

Stock Markets Around the globe

Stock market shall continue in weakness till 18th October 2014. In this time frame, S&P500 can drop to 1,905.

Your strategy should be to “sell” Stock indices on rise.

For today as well, market shall continue in weakness.

Precious Metals

Bullion shall trade positive for the day and next day.

It shall move up from today’s UK opening. This positivity shall continue to be in the market even on Thursday.

On Friday, a correction may be seen.

From next week, an upward trend shall begin in Precious Metals, which would continue till 18th October 2014.  In this time frame, Gold would cross 1,280+ & Silver would cross 20.50+.

INDUSTRIAL METALS

Copper shall continue to be positive till tomorrow. 

ENERGY PRODUCTS

CRUDE OIL

Crude Oil shall continue to trade in bullish mode till 17th / 18th October 2014.

A partial profit could be booked around 94.50-95.00

NATURAL GAS

NG shall continue to trade in bullish mode till 17th / 18th October 2014.

A partial profit could be booked around 4.15. 

INDIAN Stock MARKET

Indian market shall be volatile to weak for the day and next day.

Till 17th October 2014, Nifty can drop to / below 7,800 & Bank Nifty can drop to / below 14,800.

TRADING RANGE:

# NIFTY FUT:8,050-7,950 & BELOW

#  BANK NIFTY:15,800-15,200

Your strategy should be to short “banking” related stocks at higher levels. Infrastructure related stocks shall start witnessing negativity from today.

BUY ON DIPS:

–        ARVIND MILLS

–        RANBAXY

–        TATA MOTORS

–        CHAMBAL FERTILIZER

–        HAVELLS

Major change in trend on 23rd / 24th September 2014

Stock Markets Around the globe

Global indices had a very good time since 8th August 2014. A one way bullish trend was observed, which continued till 19th September 2014.

From this week, volatility index shall rise for Stock market. Overall, the market shall experience weakness at higher levels (till 15th October 2014).  Weakness shall be more concentrated for banking and financial stocks.

After 15th October 2014, market shall again be positive with ups and downs.

From 3rd November 2014, market shall enter a one sided bull trend. In the month of November 2014, market shall witness a very big hike. This shall continue for December as well.

Next year, till mid Feb (2015), this bullishness shall last.

For the time till 15th October 2014, S&P500 can drop to 1,960 (DEC FUT). By Dec end, S&P500 is expected to cross 2,100.

Intra-Week Prediction for this week:

On 22nd, both side swing is expected. Ultimately, weakness would be seen at closing.

On Tuesday, market shall be volatile.

On Wednesday, weakness shall be observed.

On Thursday, volatile to mix trend is expected.

On Friday, market shall be positive.

Trend for Monday

Weak opening is indicated for Asian market. Recovery to be followed and then weakness is expected at closing hour.

Precious Metals

Last week, Gold and Silver experienced a sharp correction. In this week, on 23rd / 24th, bullion is expected to bottom out.

From 24th– 25th, market shall be in recovery mode.

From 29th, recovery shall increase.

From 4th October 2014, market shall start trading in a bullish trend which shall continue till 18th/19th October 2014.

Intra-week Predictions:

–        22nd Sept 2014: Both side swing is expected.  Trend is expected to be weak.

–        23rd Sept 2014: volatile to bearish trend is expected.

–        24th Sept 2014: trend shall be volatile to positive.

–        25th Sept 2014: volatile to positive.

–        26h Sept 2014: Range bound trend is expected.

–        29th Sept 2014: Shall be positive for next week.

If Gold breaches 1,212, then it may drop to 1,180. At 1,180 is a big support.

If Silver breaches 17.70, then it may drop to 17.40 & below.

You should maintain “sell on rise” till 23rd Sept 2014.

From 24th, you are advised to enter buying position.

INDUSTRIAL METALS

Copper shall bottom out on 23rd September 2014.

On 22nd – 23rd, volatile to weak trend is expected.

From 24th, bullishness shall be observed, which shall continue till mid-October. 8 to 10 % upward move could be observed in the said time frame. 

CRUDE OIL

Crude Oil shall bottom out on 23rd September 2014.

From 24th, bullishness shall be observed, which would continue till mid-Oct 2014.

Crude can cross $110/bbl.

NATURAL GAS

NG shall follow the same trend as Oil.

From 24th September to mid-October, 8-10% of rise shall be seen.

CURRENCIES

EURO

EUR/USD to bottom out on 23rd September.

From 24th, it shall enter positivity.

This bullishness shall continue till mid-October 2014.

EUR/USD could cross 1.300.

INDIAN RUPEE (USD/INR)

USD/INR shall be range-bound for the day.

In next week, positive trend is expected.

USD/INR shall move up from 24th Sept.

DOLLAR INDEX

Dollar Index shall be strong on 22nd and 23rd Sept. From 24th Sept, sharp correction shall be observed, which would continue till mid-October.

It can break 83.00.

US 10 YR-TREASURY BOND

On Monday and Tuesday, mix trend is expected. From 24th, it shall tend to move upward. It shall remain positive till mid-October’14. 2.40 could be breached in this time period.

INDIAN Stock MARKET

Indian market shall have weak opening today. And then, recovery would be observed from 11.00 HRS IST. It shall have a sharp recovery till 14.15 HRS IST.

And then, sharp decline shall be observed.

Closing could be negative.

On Tuesday, mix trend is expected.

On 24th, bearish trend is expected.

On 25th, mixed trend shall be observed; closing is expected to be flat.

On 26th, mixed trend shall be observed; closing is expected to be positive.

Banking, Steel and Oil related stocks would experience weakness in coming days.

Bank Nifty can break 15,500 by mid October 2014.

Nifty can break 7,800 by mid October 2014.

Your strategy should be to “short” indices on rise.

TRADING RANGE:

n  NIFTY FUT:8,150-8,050

n  BANK NIFTY:16,300-16,050

This week is positive for following stocks (BUY ON DIPS):

–        TCS

–        TECH MAHINDRA

–        INFOSYS

–        MINDTREE

–        HEXAWARE

–        TATA MOTORS

–        M&M

–        HERO MOTORS

–        MARUTI

–        BATA

–        RANBAXY

–        DIVIS LAB

–        AUROBINDO PHARMA

–        DR. REDDY

–        ARVIND

–        RAYMOND

–        CENTURY TEXTILE