10th April 2015: Today’s newsletter

GLOBAL Stock INDICES

Since 8th’s US opening, it was the horror show of “Scorpio
Moon”. This increased the uncertainty & volatility.

S&P500 shall experience a trend reversal.
A sharp correction is expected in S&P500 on Monday –
Tuesday.
Today onward, VIX shall also move up.
BUY VIX today & hold for next week.
Short S&p500 JUN contract with s/l 2102 for target 2,040 which
can be achieved any time soon.

BULLION

Bullion can have a trend reversal soon.
Big positive move shall be seen but only after 15th, which
would continue with volatility till June 2015.

Hold long position in GOLD with s/l 1,190 & SILVER
with s/l 16.00. If 1,190 is breached, it can drop to 1,180.

INDUSTRIAL METALS
Copper is expected to rebound i.e. move up.

CRUDE OIL
Crude Oil shall be range bound for the day. Hold short
position in crude oil.
NATURAL GAS
NG shall trade in mix trend. Skip trading in NG as we
aren’t clear about its trend.
If you want to long NG, you can do that with s/l 2.50.
Today’s Trading Range:
- CRUDE:51.50-49.50
- NG:2.50-2.60

EURO
EUR/USD shall start moving up today.
Buy EUR/USD with s/l 1.0600 and hold for next week.

INDIAN RUPEE (USD/INR)

Buy USD/INR on dips.

DOLLAR INDEX
Short dollar index today and hold short position for next week.

TRADING RANGE:
- EUR/USD: 1.0620-1.0770
-USD/INR(SPOT):62.10-62.40
-DOLLAR INDEX:99.40-98.40

US 10 YR-TREASURY BOND
Hold long position in bonds for next week.

INDIAN Stock MARKET
Indian market shall be volatile.
In last 1 hour, profit booking can be observed.
In next week, sharp correction is expected.
BUY NIFTY PUT OPTION for target 8,600 & BANK NIFTY PUT OPTION for target 18,500.
Short bank nifty with s/l 19,000.
TRADING RANGE:
- NIFTY FUT: 8,850-8,720
- BANK NIFTY: 18,990-18,500
Buy on dips:
- HDIL
- BHEL
- HDFC BANK
- CENTRAL BANK
- LIC

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Big fall in Bullion in Coming days

GLOBAL Stock INDICES

In this week, equities shall be volatile to positive on Monday & Tuesday. Markets is expected to experience a small correction on Thursday-Friday. In next week -23th to 26th Feb 2015, a small correction could be again expected.

This correction could be minor but till March 2015, market is really bullish. In this time frame, S&p500 can shoot up to 2,1–.

BULLION

Bullion shall be supportive for the day. Be prepared to short bullion at higher level. For next 2 days, bullion is bearish. A sharp correction may be observed by 25th February 2015. 

INDIAN Stock MARKET

INDIAN Stock MARKET

Indian market shall be overall positive. Maintain “ buy on dips” strategy for trading.

Till 18th, positive trend is expected. On 19th-20th, correction is expected.

In next week, till 25th, bearish trend is expected.

After that, market is bullish.

NIFTY FUT shall not break 8,500.NIFTY FUT can cross 9,300 in March 2015.

BUY BANK NIFTY on dips.In coming days, Indian market shall be positive.

TRADING RANGE:

-NIFTY FUT: 8,740-8,920

-BANK NIFTY: 19,300-19,650

POSITIONAL BUY:

-          ICICI BANK

-          SUN PHARMA

-          TATA MOTORS

-          BANK OF BARODA

-          YES BANK

-          ARVIND MILLS

-          CENTURY TEXTILE

-          ASHOK LEYLAND

-          IDFC

-          LIC HOUSING

By March, a highly bullish trend is expected. 

Answers to your questions on BULLION, EQUITIES & CURRENCIES

WHEN WILL NIFTY DROP BELOW 8,000?
WHEN WILL BANK NIFTY DROP BELOW 17,000?

WILL WE WITNESS S&P500 AGAIN AT 1,800.. ?? WHEN??

WILL DOLLAR INDEX AGAIN DROP BELOW 87.00?? BUT WHEN?

WILL EURO CROSS 1.300 IN 2015? IF YES THEN WHEN?

Remember, USD/INR was at 70.00 in 2013 & we’d predict the same. What’s the fate of USD/INR ? Is USD/INR again going to touch the high of 70.00?? If yes but when??

WHEN WILL GOLD HAVE AN ACTUAL BULLISH TREND? WHEN WILL GOLD CROSS 1,300??
WHEN WILL SILVER CROSS 18.00??

WHEN WILL SILVER AGAIN DROP TO 14.00??
WHEN WILL GOLD AGAIN DROP TO 1,100??

When will COPPER move highly bullish?
When will CRUDE oil cross 65.00??

When will NG be dancing at peak?

MCX;
When will Gold cross 28,000?? When will Silver cross 41,000??
Will GOLD again drop below 25,000… but when??
Will SILVER again drop below 33,000… but when??

Several Questions .

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& Just One Answer!

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Precious Metals

Bullion experienced a sharp correction last week between 29th and 31st October 2014. Gold made a low of 1,161 while Silver made a low of 15.80. In this time frame, Gold and Silver can have a bounce back (especially from 4th to 10th November 2014).Gold can have a positive move of 40-50$/Oz while Silver can have a positive move of 1$/Oz.
On 3rd and 4th, volatile to bearish trend is expected.From 4th’s US opening, trend reversal shall start.
On 5th, trend is positive for Precious Metals.On 6th as well, bullion shall trade positive.
ON 7th, volatile trend is expected.On 10th November 2014, a good positive move could be seen.
For this week, with stop loss of 1,140 & 15.00, long small quantity of GOLD & SILVER on dips.
It is advisable to exit from long position on 10th November 2014 as 11th-12th November 2014 are negative for GOLD & SILVER.

Bullion shall move in a positional bull trend from 17/18th November 2014, which would continue till year-end.
By Mid-Feb 2014, Gold would cross 1,400$/Oz while Silver would cross 21.00$/Oz.
The positional positive move shall be starting from 17th November 2014.
IMPORTANT NOTE: BUY BULLION AT ?th’s US opening.———-

NATURAL GAS

NG shall trade in gradually positive side.

From 18th November to 10th December 2014, a highly bullish trend shall be seen in price of NG.

NG can cross ?.00 in this time frame. 

GLOBAL EQUITIES

Stock market shall be overall highly bullish till mid-December 2014. In this time frame, S&P500 can cross 2,100.However, the current week provokes volatility & correction. S&P500 in this week, can drop to 1,960 or below.Correction is especially seen on Thursday and Friday.Ups and downs shall continue. By Friday, correction may be seen. It is advisable to stay conscious of the market & make long position at lower levels.

On Monday, weakness is indicated.On 4th, global equities can experience positive trend.

On 5th again, markets shall experience weakness.

– Trading RANGE, TARGET:: ONLY FOR MEMBERS

Prediction Turns Out to Be Correct; What’s next?

Stock Markets Around the globe

As expected, Asian market has positive opening.

For today, UK & US market shall be strong. Sun to move to Virgo today and form a conjunction with Rahu.

Venus shall combust today.

Jupiter shall be debilitated in navmansha on 20th September 2014 & move to Capricorn.

These planetary positions shall spoil the position of global Stock market (starting from next day) i.e. make them weak.

It is advisable to make short position at closing hours as next day, Asian can open negative. You are advised to book profit in long position in US market and make short position in S&P500 around 2,000 at closing hour.

From next day, weakness shall start, which will continue to 15-16th October 2014.

TRADING RANGE:

-        DOW FUT: 17,000-17,120

-        S&P500 FUT:1,982-2,000

-        NASDAQ FUT: 4,040-4,075

-        FTSE FUT: 6,750-6,820

-        CAC FUT : 4,410-4,465

-        DAX FUT: 9,650-9,750

-        HANG SENG:24,300-24,650

-        AEX: 416-421

Precious Metals

Gold and Silver shall enter a bullish phase from 11.30 HRS IST, which shall continue till Friday and make Gold & Silver reach 1,280 & 19.20 respectively.

TRADING RANGE:

-        GOLD :1,232-1,248

-        SILVER:18.58-18.95

INDUSTRIAL METALS

As expected, Copper traded positive. In the last trading session, Copper made a high of 3.16.

Trading Range:

-        COPPER:3.12-3.18

ENERGY PRODUCTS

CRUDE OIL

Crude Oil as expected traded positive. It went up by 2$/bbl last day. It is advisable to buy crude on dips.

Till 19th October 2014, Crude Oil is expected to cross $110/bbl.

NATURAL GAS

NG shall follow the trend of crude oil. NG is positive for today.

Trading Range:

-        CRUDE: 92.80-94.50

-        NG:3.94-4.04

CURRENCIES

EURO

EUR/USD shall remain positive for the day. From next day, declining trend may be observed.

It is advisable to close long position in EUR/USD today.

 

INDIAN RUPEE (USD/INR)

USD/INR shall remain positive with volatility.

In October, it can cross 62.00.

DOLLAR INDEX

Dollar Index shall trade negative for the day.

It could drop down to 84.00-83.80.

From next day, positive trend is expected for Dollar Index.

TRADING RANGE:

- EUR/USD: 1.2930-1.2990

-USD/INR(SPOT):60.70-61.30

-DOLLAR INDEX:84.45-83.90

US 10 YR-TREASURY BOND

Bond made a high of 2.52 last day.

Today again, it’ll go up.

It is advisable to buy @ 2.59-2.60.

It shall remain positive for next day as well.

TRADING RANGE:

-US 10 YR T BOND:2.61-2.55

 

INDIAN Stock MARKET

Indian market witnessed a sharp correction last day.

As previously mentioned, today we shall be having positive opening in Indian market. Furthermore, the closing as well shall be positive.

From next day, market shall enter in a short term bear trend.

NIFTY can drop to 7,600-7,500.

The change of position of Jupiter on 20th shall influence banking and financial stocks in a negative manner. More correction is expected in BANK NIFTY OCTOBER.

SELL NIFTY OCT FUT & BANK NIFTY OCT today at closing hour.

 

TRADING RANGE:

NIFTY FUT:7,950-8,050

BANK NIFTY: 15,900-16,300

INTRA-DAY BUY:

-SBI

-BANK OF INDIA

- DR. REDDY

-  BIOCON

- RELIANCE CAPITAL

 

Updated 9/17/2014 @ 7:26 AM(IST)

16th September 2014: Tips for trading in stocks & bullion

Stock Markets Around the globe

Asian market shall have weakness in first half. In second half, recovery may be seen.

UK & US market as well shall trade positive. Positivity in US market shall continue till next day making next day’s Asian market positive. 

From Asia mid-session, make long position and hold for next day.

Hold S&P500, DOW, NASDAQ long position for tomorrow.

Precious Metals

Precious Metals shall be range bound to positive.

Actual bullish trend shall be visible for next day and up to Friday. Gold and Silver shall be positive till 15.30 HRS IST and then turn volatile. From 22.00 HRS IST, it shall again turn positive.

INDUSTRIAL METALS

Copper shall also be range bound to positive.

Copper has had a U turn from 3.07 last day.

It shall be in positive trend.

ENERGY PRODUCTS

CRUDE OIL

Crude Oil had a U turn from 90.00. The trend shall be range bound to positive.

Next day, Sun is moving to Virgo. This shall see a hike in price of crude oil. It may cross $100/bbl in coming days.

NATURAL GAS

NG had a U turn from 3.70. It shall gradually move in positive direction.

INDIAN Stock MARKET

Indian market shall be volatile in first half. In the second half, recovery shall be seen.

Next day, it shall have positive opening.

Bank Nifty is stronger than Nifty. It is advisable to hold long position in Bank Nifty.

TRADING RANGE:

NIFTY FUT:8,020-8,140

#  BANK NIFTY: 16,150-16,300

BUY:

-        PNB

-        BANK OF INDIA

-        SBI

-        BANK OF BARODA

-        ICICI BANK

-        CALCUTTA ELECTRICAL (CESC)

-        G.E. SHIPPING

-        SCI

-        CIPLA

 

Stock and Bullion for 15-19 September 2014

Stock Markets Around the globe

On 17th, it’s the federal meeting, which shall be the reason of heavy volatility in the market.

Stock market may tend to be slightly supportive till 19th.

In this time frame, finance, IT & banking sector shall be supportive.

From 19th, Stock market shall trade in negative mood till mid-October 2014.

Asian market shall have negative opening today but recovery is indicated in late hours of trading session.

UK and US market shall as well, recover.

On 16th, Asian market shall have weak opening and then recover till 17th. US market shall follow the same trend. After 17th, US market shall again trade in negative mode.

On 18th, recovery may be seen in major equity indices.

On 19th as well, same trend shall be observed.

Overall, trend is supportive till 19th September 2014.

A big correction may be seen in next week.

BUY S&P500 WITH 1,960 FOR TGT 1,990-1,995.

Precious Metals

Bullion witnessed a big correction last week, which has caused panic in traders. The bottom of last week shouldn’t be breached on closing basis in this week.

Any time, in intra-day, if it drops, the maximum extent can be 1,215 & 18.20 (GOLD & SILVER respectively).

I don’t think these levels will be tested in this week.

In current week, bullion can have a bullish run.

Gold can go up to 1,280 while Silver can go up to 19.75.

BUY GOLD @1,230 FOR TGT 1,270-1,280.

BUY SILVER @ 18.50-18.60 WITH S/L 18.00 FOR TGT 19.50-19.75.

I feel that these are the bottom levels for the entire year of 2014.

I am expecting a rally in bullion after 4th October 2014.

15th and 16th are volatile to positive for bullion.

On 17th & 18th, volatility shall be heavy but overall trend is positive.

On 19th as well, market shall be positive.

 

TRADING RANGE:

-        GOLD :1,225-1,245

-        SILVER:18.45-18.90

INDIAN Stock MARKET

Indian market shall have negative opening and then recovery.

Second half shall be positive (i.e. from 13.00 HRS IST).

In this week, banking, IT, PSU & auto sector shall be supportive.

TRADING RANGE:

#  NIFTY FUT:8,050-8,140

# BANK NIFTY: 16,100-16,300

In this week, BANK NIFTY can cross 16,400.

BUY:

-        INFOSYS

-        HEXAWARE

-        TCS

-        ARVIND MILLS

-        CENTURY TEXTILE

-        MARUTI

-        EXIDE

-        YES BANK

-        SBI

-        BANK OF INDIA

-        CROMPTON GREAVES

-        HAVELLS

 

Updated 9/15/2014 @ 7:43 AM(IST) 

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Stock Market and Bullion for 12th September 2014

IMPORTANT:

After 15.10 HRS IST, a trend reversal is expected in bullion, bonds and euro v/s usd. You are advised to watch the trend there. 

Stock Markets Around the globe

Asian market shall be weak in first half. In second half, recovery is seen. Closing may be positive for Asian market.

European market shall recover from lower levels and may close positive.

US market could be positive for the day. Positivity may be seen on Monday as well.

Overall, Stock market is expected to be positive till 19th September 2014. And then, a sharp correction is expected.

Maintain “buy on dips” strategy for indices.

TRADING RANGE:

-        DOW FUT: 16,980-17,120

-        S&P500 FUT:1,990-2,008

-        NASDAQ FUT: 4,080-4,110

-        FTSE FUT:6,790-6,880

-        CAC FUT : 4,430-4,475

-        DAX FUT: 9,620-9,725

-        HANG SENG:24,490-24,800

-        AEX: 417-420

Precious Metals

We have been wrong about positivity in bullion. Weakness may be seen for today as well & a final bottom may be seen. Monday onwards, it shall gradually move up with volatility.

After FOMC, recovery shall be seen.

Highly bullish trend shall be seen after 4th October 2014.

The bottom has either been made today or will be made today.

If Gold breaks 1,232, it can drop to 1,225. And if Silver can drop to 18.45.

We shall be watching the trend today and wait for Monday to make any position / recommendation about gold and silver.

MCX

If Gold breaks 26,900 then it can drop to 26,800.

The major support of Gold & Silver lie at 26,500; & 40,200 (only if 41,100 is breached).

TRADING RANGE:

-        GOLD :1,232-1,247

-        SILVER:18.45-18.75

ENERGY PRODUCTS

CRUDE OIL

Crude oil shall be in mix trend.

Big positive trend shall be seen only after 17th September 2014.

NATURAL GAS

NG shall trade in mix trend for the day. From Monday, trend reversal may be seen.

Trading Range:

-        CRUDE: 93.40-91.80

-        NG:3.78-3.92

CURRENCIES

EURO

EUR/USD shall be in a tight range.

INDIAN RUPEE (USD/INR)

DOLLAR INDEX

TRADING RANGE:

- EUR/USD: 1.2870-1.2940

-USD/INR(SPOT):60.00-61.10

-DOLLAR INDEX:84.65-84.20

 

INDIAN Stock MARKET

Indian market shall be volatile in first half.

In second half, recovery may be seen.

On Monday, positive trend is expected.

TRADING RANGE:

#  NIFTY FUT:8,080-8,150

#  BANK NIFTY: 16,100-16,40

BUY:

-        HDFC

-        BANK OF INDIA

-        HAVELL

-        SIEMENS

-        ARVIND MILLS

-        TATA MOTORS

SELL:

- TATA CHEMICAL (BUY PUT OPTION FOR TGT 390 IN SEPTEMBER)

Stocks and Bullion for 10th September 2014

Stock Markets Around the globe

As expected, Stock market had a negative trend in the last trading session. S&P500 made a low of 1,986.

It is advisable to book 50% short position in DOW, NASDAQ & S&P500 here and hold rest 50% with stop loss as your entry point (the level at which you had short).

Weakness is expected to continue for today as well.

Precious Metals

Yesterday was the last day for negative trend in Gold and Silver. Gold made a low of 1,248 while Silver made low of 18.88.

Today, Mars is entering Leo navmansha. Today onwards, recovery shall be seen in bullion (especially from 17.00 HRS IST).  Bullion is expected to close positive for the day.

If bullion closes positive today, it shall continue to be positive till 16th September 2014.  If bullion closes positive today, Gold may touch 1,295 while Silver may touch 19.70.

Maintain a stop loss of 1,240  & 18.70 (for the new buying).

However if bullion doesn’t close positive today, it shall be dangerous. If Gold closes below 1,248 then it may drop to 1,225.

But I am very confident that it should close positive today.

MCX:

Major support of Gold lies at 27,000.

Major support of Silver lies at 41,500.

If the said support levels are breached, then it is dangerous.

 

TRADING RANGE:

-        GOLD :1,251-1,265

-        SILVER:18.90=19.35

INDUSTRIAL METALS

Copper and other base metals shall turn positive from today.

Trading Range:

-        COPPER:3.08-3.14

ENERGY PRODUCTS

CRUDE OIL

Crude Oil shall trade in positive trend for the day.

NATURAL GAS

Mix to positive trend is expected in NG.

Trading Range:

-        CRUDE: 92.20-94.00

-        NG:4.02-3.90

 

CURRENCIES

EURO

EUR/USD shall move in positive direction till Friday.

INDIAN RUPEE (USD/INR)

USD/INR shall trade in weak trend.

DOLLAR INDEX

Dollar index made a high of 84.66 last day. It shall trade in negative mode till Friday.

TRADING RANGE:

- EUR/USD: 1.2900-1.2980

-USD/INR(SPOT):60.80-60.40

-DOLLAR INDEX:84.50-83.80

US 10 YR-TREASURY BOND

Bonds shall trade in positive direction from today.

It shall remain positive till Friday.

TRADING RANGE:

-US 10 YR T BOND:2.52-2.44

 

INDIAN Stock MARKET

Indian market shall trade in volatile to weak mode as already mentioned in the previous newsletter.

Nifty can drop below 8,100 while Bank Nifty can drop below 16,100.

TRADING RANGE:

# NIFTY FUT:8,200-8,100

#  BANK NIFTY: 16,300-16,000

BUY:

-        RANBAXY

-        JAIN IRRIGATION

-        TCS

-        HEXAWARE