IMPLEMENT "MARKET TIMING" THEORY
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Global equities market:
Global Equity Indices
In this week, there is more of downside risk in stocks. S&P500 FUT can decline to 2330-2300 in the current week. This negativity shall continue for next week as well. From Monday to Tuesday, market may be slightly supportive. At most, S&P500 FUT can move up to 2365. It is advisable to “sell” on rise.
Bullion went through a sharp selling on Friday. Today and tomorrow, trend is mixed to bearish for gold and silver. Gold has support at 1250 while Silver has support at 17.80. If support is breached then Gold can decline to 1240-1230 & Silver can decline to 17.60-17.50. In a day or two, market can suddenly bounce back. Hence, trade with caution.
On 12th’s US opening or 13th’s Asian opening, bullion shall start to move in positive direction. By the end of April 2017, Gold may cross 1280 while Silver may cross 19.00. Positional trader may long 50% position after 12th April’s US opening and rest around 13th April 2017 (if available at lower level).
Alert: Hold long position in Gold with S/L of 1250.
Copper and other base metals shall be mixed to negative till tomorrow. From 12th, it shall start moving in positive direction. This may continue in next week as well.
Crude oil shall be positive for the day. It can move up or 53 or slightly higher. From next day to the weekend, negative trend is indicated. On the lower side, 50.00 can be reached.
NG shall be in negative trend for the week. Sell NG at higher prices. By weekend, it can drop down to 3.00.
EUR/USD shall decline for today and tomorrow. 1.0500 is a considerable support. From 12th, it shall move in positive direction.
USD/INR shall be rangebound for the week. From 13th, USD/INR may decline. In this week, it shall trade between 64.20 and 64.60. From 13th, it shall start to move in positive direction. After next week, it can cross 65.
Dollar index can move up to 101.50 in a day or two. From Wednesday, it shall start to decline. Weekly closing shall be around 100.00.
USD/JPY can move up to 112-112.50 by tomorrow. From Wednesday, it shall start to decline. By weekend, it can drop to 110.50.
US Treasury Bonds Yield
Treasury bonds yield shall trade positive till tomorrow. US 10 T YR can move up to 2.42-2.45 while US 30 YR T can move up to 3.03-3.05 by tomorrow. After 12th April, it shall start to decline. You may short treasury bonds yield at mentioned higher prices.
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INDIAN STOCK MARKET
Indian market has more of downside risk in the current week. Nifty can decline to 9150-9060 in the current week. This is a short week as market is closed on Friday.
From 10th to 11th, market has potentials to come up in positivity. From 12th, it shall start to decline. This negativity may continue for next week.
- NIFTY FUT: 9280-9180
- BANK NIFTY: 21600-21300
On 12th, Mercury is combusting. This may bring negativity in banking and financial stocks.
Stocks supportive for current week:
- APOLLO TYRES
- JAIN IRRIGATION
- DILIP BUILDCON
- TVS ELECTRIC S/L 174 TGT 190
- NOCIL S/L 92 TGT 105
- RCF S/L 81.50 TGT 86
- CONCOR S/L 1112 TGT 1148
- LUPIN S/L 1415 TGT 1390-1380
Global Equity Indices
The fall that started in market last week shall continue with ups and downs till 13th April 2017. In this timeframe, S&P500 FUT can drop to ???? or lower. In this week, market may behave negative on 27th. On 28th, as per astro-indicator, positive trend is possible. From the second half of 28th, profit booking is anticipated. Market may close in flat to slightly negative trend. On 29th and 30th, sharp decline is possible. On 31st, market shall be rangebound. In next week, a sharp decline is possible.
Last week, you were advised to short S&P500 FUT. It has made a low of 2325 by now. With S/L of ????, hold short position in S&P500 FUT. If 2338 is crossed then it can move up to 2350 by tomorrow. Weekly closing shall be below ????.
Day traders are advised to book 50% profit in S&P500 at ????.
Bullion shall be overall positive till tomorrow. On Wednesday-Thursday, it might witness a decline. Again on Friday, positivity is anticipated. Technically above ????, gold can go up-to ????-????. On the other hand, if ???? is breached then it can drop to ????.
We are overall positive in bullion till 4th or 6th April 2017. From 7th to 10th April, a declining trend is anticipated. From 13th, it shall again enter a positive trend which shall continue for next 2 months.
Crude oil shall witness a sharp correction. It can drop down to ?? in this week. A major sharp decline is anticipated on Wednesday. It is advisable to short crude oil at higher levels.
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Global Stock Indices
S&P500 FUT made a high of 2356 in the previous trading session. Today, US market shall open positive
and close negative. In next week, there’s a considerable downside risk. The top of market has been made and here onwards, it shall start to decline. Positional traders were advised to long VIX, yesterday. If you haven’t yet bought them, please do so for a huge return on investment. Or you can buy put option for target of ???? (June contract). Around 2350, you may build 50% short position and around ????, build rest position. You can buy put options in DAX for target ????? (June contract). You may also enter into short position in Heng Seng and hold for next week.
In the previous week, we had advised you to short in major banking stocks such as Bank of America which went down by a reasonable value in the meantime. US banking stocks shall continue in negativity for next week.
Indian stock market
Indian stock market shall be volatile for the day. In next week, a big correction is being anticipated.
Bullion shall be slightly negative till 18.00 HRS IST.
You may buy 50% position there itself and rest on
Monday. Next week seems to be bullish.
Crude oil shall be negative in next week.
Global Equity Indices
Today, market shall behave positive. Next day onwards, correction may again start. Positional traders shall buy put options in S&P500 FUT or buy VIX. Here onwards, market shall be ready for a sharp correction by the next weekend.
Gold and Silver may undergo correction (negative) by tomorrow or Monday. Positional trader may long 50% position tomorrow and rest on Monday.
Book 50% profit in Copper at 2.63 and hold rest with S/L 2.58.
Crude oil shall be positive for the day. It can move up-to 49.00-50.00. In next week, negativity is anticipated.
NG shall be positive for today and tomorrow. Long NG with S/L of 2.97.
EUR/USD shall drop for the day.
Buy USD/INR at lower level and hold for next week.
Dollar index shall be moving towards positivity.
You are advised to long USD/JPY.
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On Tuesday, Indian stock market might open in positive direction.
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View on Global Stock Markets:
As expected, the rally in market has slowed down. Market shall be rangebound for the day. Tomorrow, closing will be range bound to negative. On 26th, it is the solar eclipse and Mars-Uranus conjunction. Jupiter-Uranus square will be formed on 3rd March 2017. The solar eclipse on 26th which will lead the market to a considerable correction. This correction shall continue till March 2017. The top being made recently in equities is the top of 2017. Market is getting ready for a big correction. These conjunctions are indicators of man-made or natural disasters in the time ahead. A big scam might just open up, which will adversely affect global equities. The best strategy is to accumulate put options in S&P500.
The upcoming trend in Bullion and Copper:
Bullion shall be positive for the day. Next day shall also be positive. Profit booking may be observed at higher levels. In next week, bullion may undergo a big breakout.
Copper shall be rangebound to positive.
The future of crude oil and natural gas:
Crude oil shall be positive for today and tomorrow. Weekly closing shall be above 54. In next week, a bullish trend is possible. If it sustains above 55 then can go up to 56-58.
NG has reversed from lower levels. It shall be moving in positive direction. In next week as well, upward trend is possible. April contract of NG can shoot up to 3.20-3.50. Positional trader shall use S/L of 2.60.
What is next in currencies?
EUR/USD shall remain positive. The bottom of EUR/USD has been made.
Buy USD/INR at lower price. In next week, a breakout shall be observed.
Sell USD-JPY at higher levels and hold position for next week – target: 112.
Dollar index shall be bearish in next week.
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