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Prediction on Indian, US Market and Bullion for 8th April 2016

Happy New Year (Gudi Padwa- Hindu new year)!

Accept our warmest wishes on the occasion of gpGudi Padwa.

Avail 20% Discount on our services. OFFER VALID TILL 11th April 2016. Call: +91-9669919000 / +91-9301717647 or e-mail: astrodunia@gmail.com for details. 

 

INDIAN STOCK MARKET

Indian market shall remain positive till 13th or 14th April 2016. In this time frame, Nifty Fut may move up to 7700 or higher while Bank NIFTY may move up to 16000 or higher.

Major support for NIFTY FUT lies at 7500 and BANK NIFTY lies at 15400.

A major correction shall be seen between 18th and 22nd April 2016.

TRADING RANGE:

  • NIFTY FUT: 7550-7640
  • BANK NIFTY: 15500-15800

 

BUY ON DIPS:

  • INFOSYS
  • BHEL
  • APOLLO TYRES
  • JAIN IRRIGATION
  • YES BANK
  • ICICI BANK
  • REDDINGTON

Global Equity Indices

A sharp correction was observed in equities last day. S&P500 JUN FUT made a low of 2030 while DOW FUT made a low of 17400 and NASDAQ FUT made a low of 4450.

Today, market shall be in positive / bullish mode. Overall, market shall remain positive till 14th April 2016. Next sharp correction shall be observed between 18th and 22nd April 2016.

On the higher side, S&P500 FUT can cross 2070.

S&P500 FUT shall close positive tonight.

Traders can long APPLE, EXXON MOBIL, JP MORGAN, ALPHABHET and MICROSOFT.

TRADING RANGE: ONLY FOR MEMBERS

PRECIOUS METALS

As expected, bullion traded positive last day. Gold made a high of 1245 while Silver made a high of 15.40. Today onwards, Gold and Silver shall be in corrective mode. With volatility, this correction mode may continue till 13th or 14th April 2016. In this time frame, Gold may drop to 1215-1200 while Silver may drop below 15.00.

Your strategy shall be to sell ‘bullion’ on rise.

 

Part of Newsletter sent this morning

Indian market shall have gap down opening. After opening, market shall move up but closing shall be negative. Tomorrow is the day for considerable decline. It is the RBI policy today. Stay cautious as market may seem to be really volatile. Cover 50% short position at opening and hold rest position with stop loss 7850 (Nifty) and 16600 (Bank Nifty).

1st April 2016: Part of today’s newsletter

Part of newsletter sent on 1st April 2016

PRECIOUS METALS

Bullion shall be in bearish trend for the day. Maintain “sell on rise” strategy for Gold and Silver.

After data announcement, Gold can drop to 1214-1205 while Silver can drop to 15.10 but closing shall be 10 to 14$/Oz higher for Gold and 0.50$/Oz for Silver. Around US closing, price of bullion may move up.

Next Monday and Tuesday shall be bearish for bullion. In next week, Gold can drop to 1195 while Silver can drop to 14.70.

Around 15.10 and 1215-1214, book 50% profit in short position of Silver and Gold respectively.

TRADING RANGE:

– GOLD: 1241-1214

– SILVER:15.60-15.10 & BELOW

CRUDE OIL

If Crude oil moves up to 37.80, book 50% profit and hold rest 50% for next week – target 36.

Make short position in crude oil at 39.

24th March 2016: Holi Gift For Viewers

[Holi Gift for Viewers : part of Daily Newsletter for 24th March 2016]

Global Equity Indices

Trend shall be bearish for the day. S&P500 FUT may close at 2020 or lower. DOW JUN FUT may close at 17350 or lower.

On Monday and Tuesday, it is the Scorpio Moon. Saturn shall retrograde on 25th – this shall bring a highly bearish trend in the market which may continue till Wednesday.  In this trend, S&P500 JUN FUT can drop to 1980 or lower. It is advised to carry the short position for next week.

On Monday, Asian market shall have a gap down opening.  UK and HK market shall be closed on occasion of Esters on Monday.  Investors may hold short position in UK and HK market for Tuesday.

PRECIOUS METALS

Bullion shall continue to be in weakness for the day. Gold may drop to 1205-1190 while Silver may drop to 15.00-14.90. Around Monday-Tuesday, a sharp bounce is seen in bullion. Gold may move up to 1250 while Silver may move up to 15.60+. At today’s closing, you can long 50% position in Gold and Silver. Hold this position for next week.

MCX traders can accumulate 50% long position in bullion at today’s closing hour.

CRUDE OIL

Crude oil shall continue to be in bearish trend for the day. It may drop to 38.

On Monday, slight bounce is anticipated. On Tuesday, a sharp decline may be observed.

At Monday’s closing hour, you may long oil.

Book 50% profit in crude oil (APRIL FUT) at 39.66 and rest 50% at 38.

At closing / level of 38, you may add long position for Monday.

EURO

EUR/USD shall be negative for today. It may drop to 1.1140-1.1120.  You may close your short position there.

On Monday, a bounce back is anticipated.

Part of Wednesday’s Letter

Here’s a part of the newsletter that was sent on Wednesday.

PRECIOUS METALS

Bullion shall continue in negativity for today and tomorrow. Gold may drop to 1226-1215 while Silver may drop to 15.40 by tomorrow.
SELL BULLION AT HIGHER LEVELS.

GLOBAL EQUITY INDICES
Today, It is the Kendra joga of Jupiter-Saturn, which comes like once in a decade. The impact is supposed to be negative for market. Also, it is the lunar eclipse today- which is also negative for market.
On 25th, Saturn shall retrograde – another negative indication for equity market.
Today onwards, market shall enter a short term negative trend. This trend may flourish till next Monday / Tuesday. Monday and Tuesday may be more bearish.
A short term bottom shall be made around 7th April 2016.
S&P 500 may drop to 1980 or lower in this time frame.
Today, you may short 50% S&P500 @ 2040-2044 and rest 50% S&P500 @ 2050 (if it comes) and hold this position for next week.
Short Dow Jun Fut with stop loss above 17650 for target 17100 or below. You may also short Heng Seng Index.

CRUDE OIL
Crude oil may drop to 38 by tomorrow and 36 by next week. Hold short position in crude oil.

EURO

Short EUR/USD @ 1.1214 for target below 1.1100.
In next week, EUR/USD may even breach 1.100.

 

Part of weekly newsletter : Sent on 14th March 2016


GLOBAL EQUITY INDICES

We anticipated last Friday to be negative but market went opposite. You are requested to be alert as market traded positive on a negative day.
Today, after change of position of Sun – a trend reversal shall be observed which should initiate negativity in market. Next day, it is the banking policy of Japan’s central bank – its impact has potentials to drive equities to lower levels. Till Wednesday, trend shall be negative.
On Wednesday, it is the FOMC meeting. After Janet Yelen’s speech, market is bound to recover but we are not very sure. Other after-effect on Thursday (post FOMC) could be a negative rally. If market declines on Thursday, it shall recover on Friday. If market moves up after FOMC on Thursday, it shall decline on Friday.
The most considerable weakness is expected around last week of March 2016. This shall continue till mid-April 2016.
Next week’s Monday also seems to be negative for the market.
Hold short position in S&P500 June contract with stop loss 2025 (on closing basis).
In this week, if S&P500 FUT drops to 1975-1960, you could cover short position there.

PRECIOUS METALS
We had mentioned that Monday would see bullion at higher levels – the current trend confirms our prediction made last week. It is advisable to “sell’ bullion on rise.
You are recommended to short Gold around 1256-1260 for target 1230 by Wednesday and Silver around 15.60-15.65 for target 15.00.
Till Wednesday, bullion shall be negative. Post FOMC, bullion shall recover.

CRUDE OIL
Crude oil shall experience a sharp correction in this week. Make short position in oil with stop loss 39.50 for target 34.00 and below.
NG
NG shall move up till Wednesday. Thursday onwards, profit booking is anticipated.

EURO
EUR/USD has made its high last week. For this week, it shall remain in a negative trend. Short EUR/USD with stop loss 1.1250 for target 1.0950.
USD/INR
Hold long position in USD/INR with stop loss 66.80. In this week, it’ll move up to 67.50. If 66.80 is breached, it can drop to 66.50.
DOLLAR INDEX
Dollar index shall be upward for this week. Long dollar index with stop loss 95.70 for target 97-98.
US TREASURY BONDS
Bonds shall be trading upward till Wednesday. From Thursday, negative trend is indicated.
You may long US 10 YEAR Treasury with stop loss 2.01 and US 30 YEAR Treasury with stop loss 2.80.
To hedge this position, you may short US 5 YEAR Treasury.

Indian stock market
Short Nifty Fut with stop loss 7600 (on closing basis) and Bank Nifty with stop loss 15600 (on closing basis).
Nifty may drop to 7400 while Bank Nifty may drop below 15000 by Wednesday.
The next Monday is also weak for the Indian market.
A considerable declining move may be seen after 23rd March 2016 – which may drive Nifty below 7000 in the next 10 days.

Part of today’s newsletter (10th March 2016)

Global Equity Indices

Market shall be positive till ECB meeting. Post ECB meeting, negative trend shall be observed in stock market. Next day, market is again in negative sentiment.

Next week shall also prove to be negative for the stock market.

In case post ECB meeting, positive trend is seen today – still we anticipate declining trend from next day which shall turn into a considerable correction in next week. This weakness with ups and downs shall continue till first week of April 2016.

At higher levels (1998-2010), you can build short position in S&P 500 FUT and hold it for next week.

TODAY’S TRADING RANGE:

  • DOW (FUT):17090-16950
  • S&P 500 (FUT): 2005-1984
  • NASDAQ (FUT): 4330-4290
  • FTSE (FUT):6200-6090
  • CAC(FUT):4470-4400
  • DAX(FUT):9850-9650
  • AEX(FUT):440-430
  • HENG SENG(FUT):20250-19950

PRECIOUS METALS

Bullion shall be positive for the day. It can shoot up to 1268-1278. Around 1244-1246, you can long GOLD. Post UK opening, bullion shall enter into a bullish run.

It is then advisable to build short position in bullion at higher level. Next day, the entire bullishness observed would be reciprocated with an equally negative trend.

TRADING RANGE:

  • GOLD: 1245-1268-1278
  • SILVER: 15.20-15.60

INDUSTRIAL METALS

Sell copper at higher level (2.22-2.25). A trend reversal is indicated.

Next day and week are in declining mode for copper.

TRADING RANGE:

– COPPER: 2.25-2.20

CRUDE OIL

It is the last day of bullishness in crude oil. It can move up to 39-40. From next day, declining trend is anticipated.

In next week, sharp fall is predicted.

NG

NG made a high of 1.78. You are advised to hold long position for target 1.95-2.05 in coming days.

TRADING RANGE

  • CRUDE: 39.50-37.50
  • NG : 1.72-1.82

EURO

EUR/USD shall be in negative mode till the ECB meeting. After ECB meeting, it shall move up.

 

USD/INR

Long USD/INR with stop loss 66.80 for target 68.50 in next week.

DOLLAR INDEX

Dollar index shall first move up and post ECB, it’ll decline.

TRADING RANGE:

  • EUR/USD: 1.0880-1.1050
  • USD/INR: 67.10-67.50
  • DOLLAR INDEX: 97.60-97.00

US TREASURY BONDS

Bonds shall trade in mixed trend for the day. It is advisable to long treasury bonds at lower levels (US 10 YEAR @ 1.92 & US 30 YEAR @ 2.69-2.70).

INDIAN STOCK MARKET

Indian market shall be highly volatile for the day. Mixed trend is seen but market may seem to be supportive. From next day, downside trend shall start – which will continue for next week.

It is the last day of bullishness in Indian stock market. In next week, sharp decline is expected.

TRADING RANGE:

  • NIFTY FUT: 7580-7450
  • BANK NIFTY: 15500-15100

 

It is advisable to make 50% short position at today’s closing hour and rest 50% tomorrow.

Nifty Fut may decline to 7350-7250 in coming days.

INTRADAY BUY:

  • CONCOR
  • ONGC
  • RELIANCE CAPITAL
  • RELIANCE INFRA
  • LIC

29th February 2016: Part of weekly newsletter

GLOBAL EQUITY INDICES

The month of March 2016 is highly bearish for equity market (with volatility). This bearishness shall end on 25th March 2016 and a positive trend for short term may be observed.

Last week, S&P500 FUT made a low of 1888. Around 1890, you were advised to long and it made a high of 1965. It closed at 1942.

Trend for this week:

Monday shall be negative. S&p500 can drop to 1920-1900. From Tuesday, it shall trade in upward mode. It shall remain upward till Wednesday. Due to Scorpio Moon on Tuesday-Wednesday, trend may prove to be uncertain.

On Thursday and Friday, negative trend is anticipated.

If trend between Tuesday and Wednesday proves to be positive, it’ll retest last week’s high.

Thursday and Friday shall be negative for market. Friday shall be more bearish. S&P500 can drop below 1900.

Next week shall be more bearish. It may retest 1800.

European market shall be negative on Monday and recover on Tuesday-Wednesday. It shall again turn negative on Thursday-Friday.

Asian market shall be negative on Monday and Tuesday. Wednesday onwards, recovery is anticipated. Thursday-Friday shall again be bearish.

Next week shall be highly bearish for European and Asian market.

Highlights of last week

Precious Metal High Low Close
Gold 1255 1216 1223
Silver 15.55 14.72 14.72

 

Trend shall be negative for Gold on Monday – it may drop to the level of 1200. On Tuesday, recovery shall be seen from lower level. On Wednesday, a top shall be made – which may drive it above 1250. On Thursday, correction shall be observed. On Friday before non-farm payroll announcement, market shall be negative. At the lower level, it may drop to 1190 (+/- $10).

After non-farm payroll announcement, it shall recover and in next week, it may cross 1260.

Silver may drop to 14.50-14.40 in this week and then recover back to 15.50. In next week, it may cross 15.65.

Trading Strategy:

Cover short position in Bullion on Monday. Make long position on Tuesday and hold till Wednesday. On WEDNESDAY, you can book profit and make short position at higher level. You should recover this short position before non-farm announcement on Friday and enter into long position for next week.

INDIAN STOCK MARKET

Indian market shall be highly uncertain and painful for this week. It is advisable to maintain “sell on rise“ strategy. On Monday, market shall be negative owing to the budget.  This trend shall continue for Tuesday. On Wednesday, recovery is indicated. On Thursday-Friday, correction is seen. Next week shall be highly bearish.

In this week, NIFTY may break 6900 while Bank Nifty may break 13500.

Trend is highly bearish till 25th March – Nifty Fut can break 6500 and Bank Nifty can break 12000.

TRADING RANGE:

NIFTY FUT: 7100-6980

BANK NIFTY: 14060-13450

Stocks supportive on Monday (budget session) / BUY ON DIPS:

–          LIC HOUSING

–          HDFC

–          BEML

–          BEL

–          ASTRA MICRO

–          JAIN IRRIGATION

–          UNITED SPIRIT

SELL:

–          TATA STEEL

–          MARUTI

–          TATA MOTORS

–          ITC

–          YES BANK

24th February 2016: View on Equities, Commodities, Bonds

Global Equity Indices

Today, Moon-Rahu-Jupiter conjunction at same degree is being formed – this is critical for stock market and oil while it is supportive for Gold.

Today, US market may witness a sharp correction – S&P 500 FUT can drop to 1880 (+/- 10 Points) – an optimum level to cover short position and enter into long position.  US market is expected to close at lower levels.

Tomorrow, Asian market may experience bearish opening. Next day post UK opening, recovery is indicated in stock market.

ABX closed at 13.50 – you may book 50% profit in ABX today and hold rest 50%. In March, it has potentials to move up to 20.

BULLION

Bullion shall be supportive for the day. Next day, it may trade in a zigzag pattern which may mean a bit of correction.  You are advised to cover your long position today.

TRADING RANGE:

  • GOLD: 1215-1238
  • SILVER: 15.10-15.45

INDUSTRIAL METALS

Copper shall be negative for the day.

TRADING RANGE:

– COPPER: 2.11-2.06

ENERGY PRODUCTS

CRUDE OIL

Crude Oil shall experience correction today. It may drop to 30.50-29.80

NG

Hold long position in NG.  By Friday, a big upward move is anticipated.

INDIAN STOCK MARKET

Indian market shall be uncertain for the day – overall trend shall be weak.

By next day, Nifty may drop below 7000 while Bank Nifty may drop below 13800.

Hold short position till next day.

TRADING RANGE:

NIFTY FUT: 7180-7050

BANK NIFTY: 14180-13800

SELL ON RISE:

  • SBI
  • BOI
  • PNB

BUY:

  • MAN INDUSTRIES
  • BEL
  • BEML
  • ASIAN PAINTS

US TREASURY BONDS

Bonds shall make top today and hence you must book profit at higher level, today itself.  Next day’s US opening onwards and till 29th Feb, slight weakness is indicated.

TRADING RANGE:

  • US 10 YEAR: 1.76-1.69
  • US 30 YEAR: 2.62-2.54

16th February 2016: Part of today’s Newsletter

Global Equity Indices

From UK opening, a downside correction is indicated in equities.

Next day onwards, US market along with other markets shall turn positive.

S&P 500 FUT may move up to 1895-1900 and then experience a correction down to 1870.

Around 1895-1900, you can book profit in S&P 500 FUT. Around 1860-1870, you can buy back the long position and hold the position for tomorrow.

Positional traders can long gold mining stocks for long term.

TRADING RANGE:: ONLY FOR MEMBERS

Precious Metals

Bullion shall experience correction today or tomorrow. It’ll make a low and then bounce back.

Around 1190 (+/- 10) & 15.00 (+/- 0.10), you can long 50% Gold & Silver.

By next Monday, we are expecting Gold to cross 1260 and may even achieve 1270-1275 while Silver may cross 16.

MCX traders can long GOLD @28350-28450 & SILVER @ 36800.

 

NG

NG is ready to bounce back anytime soon.

EURO

Around 1.1140-1.1150, long EUR/USD for target 1.1300 in next week.

USD/INR

USD/INR made a high of 68.56 last week and closed at 68.20. In this week, it can experience profit booking – can drop to 67.80. And recovery is anticipated from 17th, it’ll bounce back to 68.50 by Friday.

In coming months, we are seeing USD/INR above 70.

DOLLAR INDEX

Dollar index shall be supportive with volatility till Wednesday. Thursday onwards, dollar index shall undergo correction (till next Tuesday).

US TREASURY BONDS

Bonds shall be downward with volatility. Next day onwards, it shall move upward and remain positive till next week.

INDIAN STOCK MARKET

Indian market shall be positive till 11.00 AM IST and then shall undergo a correction. With s/l of 7250, you can make intraday short position in Nifty Fut. But remember to make long position in Nifty fut at closing as next day, trend is supportive for the market.

 

 

11th February 2016: Equities, Commodities, Currencies And Bonds

Global Equity Indices

As per our expectations, markets bounced back and then declined. S&P500 FUT went down from 1877 and made a low of 1832 and currently trading around 1836. Positional traders shall hold position for target 1780 while intraday traders could book 50% profit in short position and add short position around 1850.

Stock market shall be in bearish mode till 21st / 22nd February 2016. In this time frame, a sharp fall is indicated.

Next day as well, market may behave in an uncertain way.

 PRECIOUS METALS

Around 1184 and 15.10, we made you long Gold and Silver. Bullion shall be bullish till 22nd February 2016. In this week, GOLD may cross 1220 while SILVER may cross 15.65.

Gold made a high of 1214 this very morning.

Around 1220-1222, you can book 50% profit in long position of Gold and Around 15.65-15.70, you can book 50% profit in long position of Silver.

INDUSTRIAL METALS

Copper has major support at 1.98. It can move up to 2.05.

With stop loss of 1.98, make / hold long position in Copper.

CRUDE OIL

Crude oil shall continue to be in bearish mode. Stay away from long position in Oil as it may dip down to 25 anytime soon. You can rather short crude oil at higher levels.

NG

NG shall trade in volatile to positive mode.

Around 2.12, you can book 50% profit in NG.

EURO

EUR/USD made a high of 1.1320 – you are advised to book 50% profit at 1.1290 and rest 50% at 1.1350.

 

USD/INR

Short USD/INR with stop loss 68.35 for target 67.60 and below.

DOLLAR INDEX

Dollar index may drop to 94.50 in coming days.

US TREASURY BONDS

Hold bonds for target 1.60 and 2.40 (US 10 YR TREASURY & US 30 YEAR TREASURY).

Bonds shall be trading upward till 22nd February 2016.

INDIAN STOCK MARKET

Indian market shall be uncertain for the day. Closing may be bearish. Below 7200, Nify Fut may drop to 7080. Bank Nifty below 14700 can drop to 14500 or below.

Market shall be highly volatile and continue in weakness for this week. Next day is again weak for the equities.

TRADING RANGE:

  • NIFTY FUT: 7280-7150
  • BANK NIFTY: 14800-14500

 

SELL ON RISE:

  • SBI
  • TATA MOTORS
  • MARUTI
  • BANK OF BARODA
  • UCO BANK

UNION BANK

The Road Ahead for Equities, Commodities, Currencies and Bonds

Global Equity Indices

Market couldn’t move up as our expectation in the last trading session. Yet with astrological indications, we are really hopeful of a feasible recovery for equity market. If market moves up / closes positive, this positive trend may last till next day’s opening.

Today, it is also Janet Yellen’s testify which may give out a positive result for the stock market.

In case it turns out to be negative, market will continue to be negative for some more time.

USE S/L of 1824 in S&P 500 FUT.

If it sustains above 1858-1860, it’ll bounce back to 1880+.

Use S/L of 8700 for long position in DAX.

PRECIOUS METALS

Bullion shall continue in bullish trend with volatility till 15th March 2016.

Maintain “buy on dips” strategy for precious metals.

Today as well, positive trend is indicated.

If it sustains above 1205 then it has chances to move up to 1222-1242.

Around 15.05-15.10, you can accumulate long position in Silver.

MCX traders shall note that 28600 is a major resistance level – if crossed, Gold could then move up to 29300. If Silver crosses 37700, it’ll move up to 39000.

Copper has major support at 1.98. With S/L below 1.98, long Copper. In a day or two, it’ll bounce back to 2.07-2.10.

CRUDE OIL

Crude oil shall also move up for today. The last eve’s low of 27.80 should be used as stop loss for making long position. Or On closing basis, you can use SL of 28.

It may bounce back to 32+.

NG

NG shall trade in mixed trend but overall positive.

EURO

Short EUR/USD with stop loss above 1.1350 for target 1.1150-1.1080.

USD/INR

Short USD/INR with stop loss 68.35 for target 67.60 and below.

DOLLAR INDEX

Buy Dollar index with s/l 95. In 1 – 2 days, it’ll move back to 97.

US TREASURY BONDS

Hold US 10 YEAR Treasury with S/L 1.65 and US 30 YEAR Treasury with S/L 2.45.

INDIAN STOCK MARKET

Indian market shall have gap down opening. Use S/L of 7200 in Nifty Fut and 14,700 in Bank Nifty. If these levels are breached, it’ll be a panic. However, if the market closes positive today, next day shall be again positive.

BUY ON DIPS:

–          ENGINEERING INDIA LIMITED

–          BHARAT FORGE

–          SCI

–          RAMCO

–          DEEPAK FERTILIZER

SELL:

-CENTRAL BANK OF INDIA

-BHARTI INFRA

-UCO BANK

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