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Stock Markets Around the globe

It is the lunar eclipse today with Moon in Pisces. It is important to mention that it is full moon tonight. This can influence heavy volatility and both side big move in all financial markets.

You are advised to cover 50% short position in various Stock indices (such as S&P500 @1,930, DOW, etc). You are supposed to short again at higher level. Market will move up and then decline tonight.

For next day, Asian opening is expected to be negative.

From tomorrow and up to day after tomorrow, a recovery is indicated in global equity indices.

Overall, market is weak till 18th October 2014. It is advisable to “short” indices on rise.

S&P500 can drop to 1,905 any time.

From UK opening, some recovery is expected. We are not in favor of buying but short at higher level.

Precious Metals

Precious Metals shall be bullish till 20.00 HRS IST (especially between 13.00 – 19.00 HRS IST, a big positive move may be seen.).

After 20.00 HRS IST, fall may be seen.

For next day, the trend of bullion is positive.

It is advisable to book profit in long position by 20.00 HRS IST. Intra-day traders can make a short position here and cover it by US Closing & also make long position at US closing for next day’s positive trend.

INDUSTRIAL METALS

Copper shall trade in mix to range bound mode. Some recovery is indicated for the day. 

ENERGY PRODUCTS

CRUDE OIL

Crude Oil shall trade in mix trend. In coming days, positive trend is expected. The low of 85.00 won’t be breached.  It may cross 95.00 in coming days.

NATURAL GAS

In coming days, a rise of 8-10% is expected.

CURRENCIES

EURO

EUR/USD shall touch 1.2700 today. After 20.00 HRS IST, EUR/USD shall decline. For next day, positive trend is expected. It is advisable to book profit by 20.00 HRS IST.

INDIAN RUPEE (USD/INR)

USD/INR can go up to 62.25 any time.

DOLLAR INDEX

Dollar index shall drop till 20.00 HRS IST. And then, positive trend is expected. For next day, weak trend is indicated for dollar index.

US 10 YR-TREASURY BOND

Bonds can go up to 2.30.  After 20.00 HRS IST, trend shall change: it shall start to drop.

It is advisable to cover long position by 20.00 HRS IST.

 

COFFEE & SOYBEAN

Coffee is expected to fall by 10-15% in coming days. Soybean is also expected to fall by 10-15% in coming days. It is advisable to short COFEE and SOYBEAN. 

INDIAN Stock MARKET

Indian market shall have bearish opening.

Heavy volatility is indicated for the market.

From 11.40 HRS IST, recovery could be observed.

If recovery is observed, market would sustain till closing.

Traders shall be careful for next day could be negative.

TRADING RANGE:

#  NIFTY FUT: 7,830-7,950

# BANK NIFTY: 14,900-15,400

BUY ON DIPS:

- RCF

-  EMAMI

SELL:

-  PETRONET

-   HINDALCO

Weakness is expected in banking and metal sector.

What’s next in stock and bullion? Will S&p500 decline more?

Stock Markets Around the globe

Last day, DOW FUT made a low of 16,600 while S&P500 made a low of 1,919. For today, some recovery may be observed. It is advisable to short indices at higher level (for instance- Short S&P500 FUT@ 1,960-1,965, DOW FUT @ 16,850-900. By 18th October 2014, S&P500 (F) could drop to 1,905-1,880 while DOW(F) could drop to 16,400-16,200).

TRADING RANGE:

-        DOW FUT: 16,650-16,880

-        S&P500 FUT:1,935-1,962

-        NASDAQ FUT:3,960-4,015

-        FTSE FUT: 6,410-6,490

-        CAC FUT : 4,240-4,330

-        DAX FUT: 9,200-9,350

-        HANG SENG:22,500-22,780

-        AEX:406-413

Precious Metals

A sharp decline may be seen in bullion today. Stay away from Gold and Silver for the day.

However from 20.30 HRS IST, recovery may be observed. If this mentioned recovery is seen in market then bullion shall start moving up. Otherwise, bullion shall turn positive from Monday.

TRADING RANGE:

-        GOLD :1,219-1,204

-        SILVER:17.30-16.80

INDUSTRIAL METALS

Mixed trend is expected in Copper.

Trading Range:

-        COPPER:3.03-3.05

ENERGY PRODUCTS

CRUDE OIL & NATURAL GAS

Crude Oil made a low of 89.90. Crude Oil and NG are uncertain for today as well. For once, Crude may drop down to 88/85.

Trading Range:

-        CRUDE: 92.50-89.00

-        NG:3.88-4.05

CURRENCIES

EURO

A sharp correction is expected in EUR/USD today.

In the previous trading session, EUR/USD made a high of 1.2690.

For today, EUR/USD can break 1.2500.

INDIAN RUPEE (USD/INR)

HOLIDAY

DOLLAR INDEX

Dollar Index shall move up for the day.

TRADING RANGE:

- EUR/USD: 1.2680-1.2480

-USD/INR(SPOT):CLOSED

-DOLLAR INDEX:85.70-86.50

 

US 10 YR-TREASURY BOND

For today, bonds shall drop.

TRADING RANGE:

-US 10 YR T BOND:2.40-2.52

INDIAN Stock MARKET

Owing to  dussehra, Indian market shall remain closed for the day.

On Monday as well, owing to Eid, it’s a holiday.

TRADING RANGE:

-  NIFTY FUT:CLOSED

-BANK NIFTY:CLOSED

Trend of Oil and Bullion

Precious Metals
Bullion shall move up for the day. For next day, mix trend is expected. Some correction may be seen tomorrow.
You can book profit at higher levels today and buy back next day.
TRADING RANGE:
- GOLD :1,209-1,228
- SILVER: 17.15-17.55+

CRUDE OIL & NATURAL GAS

Crude Oil & Natural Gas shall continue to be in weak trend till next day.
Crude Oil can go down to $88/bbl. From Monday, the trend shall turn positive for Oil and energy products.
NG shall trade both sides for the next 48 hours. Avoid NG till weekend. In next week, NG can go up by 5-10%. Around 3.90-4.00, long natural gas.

INTERNATIONAL Stock INDICES
Venus shall combust today. This shall give support to bullion. In next week, from 4th October 2014, several planetary conditions shall change. On 8th, it is the lunar eclipse.
Between 4th and 18th October 2014, a big natural disaster / calamity could come up (especially earthquake in Asian continent). Moreover, in this time period, there are chances of disasters affecting human lives in USA.
On 4th October 2014, Mercury shall retrograde. All of these situations are bad indicator for the Stock market but trend booster for bullion, crude oil & natural gas.
For today, market shall be in a range.
Cover 75% short position in S&P500 @ 1,940.
Also cover short position in other Stock indices.
And then make new short position around Friday’s closing.
In next week, a big fall could be seen, which would navigate S&P500 to 1,905-1,880.
Overall, this weakness shall last till 18th October 2014.
Note: On 3rd October 2014, recovery can be observed. You are advised to make short position at higher level.

EURO
Due to ECB meeting, EUR/USD shall move up.

DOLLAR INDEX
For today as well, Dollar index shall be in correction mode.

US 10 YR-TREASURY BOND
Bonds shall be strong for the day. It shall move up.
TRADING RANGE:
-US 10 YR T BOND:2.45-2.35

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