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16th September 2014: Tips for trading in stocks & bullion

Stock Markets Around the globe

Asian market shall have weakness in first half. In second half, recovery may be seen.

UK & US market as well shall trade positive. Positivity in US market shall continue till next day making next day’s Asian market positive. 

From Asia mid-session, make long position and hold for next day.

Hold S&P500, DOW, NASDAQ long position for tomorrow.

PRECIOUS METALS

Precious metals shall be range bound to positive.

Actual bullish trend shall be visible for next day and up to Friday. Gold and Silver shall be positive till 15.30 HRS IST and then turn volatile. From 22.00 HRS IST, it shall again turn positive.

INDUSTRIAL METALS

Copper shall also be range bound to positive.

Copper has had a U turn from 3.07 last day.

It shall be in positive trend.

ENERGY PRODUCTS

CRUDE OIL

Crude Oil had a U turn from 90.00. The trend shall be range bound to positive.

Next day, Sun is moving to Virgo. This shall see a hike in price of crude oil. It may cross $100/bbl in coming days.

NATURAL GAS

NG had a U turn from 3.70. It shall gradually move in positive direction.

INDIAN STOCK MARKET

Indian market shall be volatile in first half. In the second half, recovery shall be seen.

Next day, it shall have positive opening.

Bank Nifty is stronger than Nifty. It is advisable to hold long position in Bank Nifty.

TRADING RANGE:

NIFTY FUT:8,020-8,140

#  BANK NIFTY: 16,150-16,300

BUY:

-        PNB

-        BANK OF INDIA

-        SBI

-        BANK OF BARODA

-        ICICI BANK

-        CALCUTTA ELECTRICAL (CESC)

-        G.E. SHIPPING

-        SCI

-        CIPLA

 

Stock and Bullion for 15-19 September 2014

Stock Markets Around the globe

On 17th, it’s the federal meeting, which shall be the reason of heavy volatility in the market.

Stock market may tend to be slightly supportive till 19th.

In this time frame, finance, IT & banking sector shall be supportive.

From 19th, stock market shall trade in negative mood till mid-October 2014.

Asian market shall have negative opening today but recovery is indicated in late hours of trading session.

UK and US market shall as well, recover.

On 16th, Asian market shall have weak opening and then recover till 17th. US market shall follow the same trend. After 17th, US market shall again trade in negative mode.

On 18th, recovery may be seen in major equity indices.

On 19th as well, same trend shall be observed.

Overall, trend is supportive till 19th September 2014.

A big correction may be seen in next week.

BUY S&P500 WITH 1,960 FOR TGT 1,990-1,995.

PRECIOUS METALS

Bullion witnessed a big correction last week, which has caused panic in traders. The bottom of last week shouldn’t be breached on closing basis in this week.

Any time, in intra-day, if it drops, the maximum extent can be 1,215 & 18.20 (GOLD & SILVER respectively).

I don’t think these levels will be tested in this week.

In current week, bullion can have a bullish run.

Gold can go up to 1,280 while Silver can go up to 19.75.

BUY GOLD @1,230 FOR TGT 1,270-1,280.

BUY SILVER @ 18.50-18.60 WITH S/L 18.00 FOR TGT 19.50-19.75.

I feel that these are the bottom levels for the entire year of 2014.

I am expecting a rally in bullion after 4th October 2014.

15th and 16th are volatile to positive for bullion.

On 17th & 18th, volatility shall be heavy but overall trend is positive.

On 19th as well, market shall be positive.

 

TRADING RANGE:

-        GOLD :1,225-1,245

-        SILVER:18.45-18.90

INDIAN STOCK MARKET

Indian market shall have negative opening and then recovery.

Second half shall be positive (i.e. from 13.00 HRS IST).

In this week, banking, IT, PSU & auto sector shall be supportive.

TRADING RANGE:

#  NIFTY FUT:8,050-8,140

# BANK NIFTY: 16,100-16,300

In this week, BANK NIFTY can cross 16,400.

BUY:

-        INFOSYS

-        HEXAWARE

-        TCS

-        ARVIND MILLS

-        CENTURY TEXTILE

-        MARUTI

-        EXIDE

-        YES BANK

-        SBI

-        BANK OF INDIA

-        CROMPTON GREAVES

-        HAVELLS

 

Updated 9/15/2014 @ 7:43 AM(IST) 

Stock Market and Bullion for 12th September 2014

IMPORTANT:

After 15.10 HRS IST, a trend reversal is expected in bullion, bonds and euro v/s usd. You are advised to watch the trend there. 

Stock Markets Around the globe

Asian market shall be weak in first half. In second half, recovery is seen. Closing may be positive for Asian market.

European market shall recover from lower levels and may close positive.

US market could be positive for the day. Positivity may be seen on Monday as well.

Overall, stock market is expected to be positive till 19th September 2014. And then, a sharp correction is expected.

Maintain “buy on dips” strategy for indices.

TRADING RANGE:

-        DOW FUT: 16,980-17,120

-        S&P500 FUT:1,990-2,008

-        NASDAQ FUT: 4,080-4,110

-        FTSE FUT:6,790-6,880

-        CAC FUT : 4,430-4,475

-        DAX FUT: 9,620-9,725

-        HANG SENG:24,490-24,800

-        AEX: 417-420

PRECIOUS METALS

We have been wrong about positivity in bullion. Weakness may be seen for today as well & a final bottom may be seen. Monday onwards, it shall gradually move up with volatility.

After FOMC, recovery shall be seen.

Highly bullish trend shall be seen after 4th October 2014.

The bottom has either been made today or will be made today.

If Gold breaks 1,232, it can drop to 1,225. And if Silver can drop to 18.45.

We shall be watching the trend today and wait for Monday to make any position / recommendation about gold and silver.

MCX

If Gold breaks 26,900 then it can drop to 26,800.

The major support of Gold & Silver lie at 26,500; & 40,200 (only if 41,100 is breached).

TRADING RANGE:

-        GOLD :1,232-1,247

-        SILVER:18.45-18.75

ENERGY PRODUCTS

CRUDE OIL

Crude oil shall be in mix trend.

Big positive trend shall be seen only after 17th September 2014.

NATURAL GAS

NG shall trade in mix trend for the day. From Monday, trend reversal may be seen.

Trading Range:

-        CRUDE: 93.40-91.80

-        NG:3.78-3.92

CURRENCIES

EURO

EUR/USD shall be in a tight range.

INDIAN RUPEE (USD/INR)

DOLLAR INDEX

TRADING RANGE:

- EUR/USD: 1.2870-1.2940

-USD/INR(SPOT):60.00-61.10

-DOLLAR INDEX:84.65-84.20

 

INDIAN STOCK MARKET

Indian market shall be volatile in first half.

In second half, recovery may be seen.

On Monday, positive trend is expected.

TRADING RANGE:

#  NIFTY FUT:8,080-8,150

#  BANK NIFTY: 16,100-16,40

BUY:

-        HDFC

-        BANK OF INDIA

-        HAVELL

-        SIEMENS

-        ARVIND MILLS

-        TATA MOTORS

SELL:

- TATA CHEMICAL (BUY PUT OPTION FOR TGT 390 IN SEPTEMBER)

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