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27th November 2015: Part of today’s letter

GLOBAL STOCK INDICES

It is a half day in US market and so we are not expecting considerable move today. Next week seems to be bullish. S&P500 can shoot up to 2135.

PRECIOUS METALS

Bullion shall be range bound for the day. In next week, Gold may cross 1100 while Silver may cross 14.60.

You are advised to hold 50% long position for next week.

CRUDE OIL

Crude oil shall be positive for the day. In next week, it shall cross $45/bbl.

EURO (EUR/USD)

Buy EUR/USD on dips for next week. In next week, we are expecting EUR/USD to cross 1.0720.

DOLLAR INDEX

Dollar index shall drop to 98 in next week. You are advised to short dollar index at higher level.

INDIAN STOCK MARKET

Indian market shall be volatile for the day. At higher level, profit booking may be observed. Next week shall be bullish for Indian equities – Nifty Fut may cross 8,000 while Bank Nifty may cross 17500 in this time period.

TRADING RANGE:

  • NIFTY FUT: 7840-7950
  • BANK NIFTY 16900-17350

BUY ON DIPS:

  • TATA MOTORS
  • MARUTI
  • LIC
  • RELIANCE CAPITAL
  • RELIANCE INFRA
  • YES BANK
  • ICICI BANK

We had asked you to long DLF last day – it made a high of 117 and closed at 114.

 

Long following US Stocks for move of 20%+

GLOBAL STOCK INDICES
Sun and Saturn shall start to be close from today. On 30th November 2015, the complete conjunction of Sun-Saturn shall be formed.
Last day as well, we had mentioned that this may give rise to geopolitical tension. Turkey and Russia have landed up in a serious conflict. By 30th November 2015, there may be a serious tension across geopolitical boundaries that may directly or indirectly affect market.
S&P500 FUT may move up for some time but closing for the day shall be bearish.
Intraday traders can make short position in indices at higher levels.

On Friday, market shall open negative and then experience a strong recovery.
Short term traders can short S&P500 DEC FUT around 2092 for target 2070-2065.
You can also long 1-800FLOWERS.COM (FLWS) for a short term profit of 20 to 30 percent.
You can make long position in US for following stocks:
-BEBE
-2U INC
-ADI
-XOM
-ACST
-ADI
-UNH
-PG
Market shall trade in bullish pattern for next week. We aren’t very clear about the view on Monday but next weekly closing is expected to be positive in which S&P500 may shoot up to 2135.

BULLION

Gold made a high of 1080 in the last trading session. For today, trend is expected to be positive.

After US opening, downward trend may be observed and remain weak till next day.

Around 1082-1086, you can short GOLD for target 1065 by next day / Friday opening. Around 14.40-14.50, you can short SILVER for target 14.00 by next day / Friday opening.

Stop loss for short position: 1096 (GOLD), 14.55 (SILVER).

As per astrology, bullion shall be positive till 20.00 HRS (IST = GMT + 5.30 HRS) and then turn negative.

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23rd to 27th November 2015: Prediction for DJIA, S&P500, GOLD, SILVER, CRUDE OIL, and Indian market

GLOBAL STOCK INDICES

S&P500 FUT started recovering from 2010. Around 2065, a correction was expected which didn’t actually happen. Weekly closing was around 2089.

2100 shall serve as a major resistance. If this resistance is crossed then it can technically go up to 2120.

On Monday, market shall be somewhat positive. However, closing shall be below the higher levels achieved in the trading session of Monday.

On Tuesday, market shall range-bound to negative.

On Wednesday, more of bearishness is expected. As it happens to be a week of holidays, it is difficult to estimate how bearish the market may behave. Still, you can assume that 2055-2045 could be retested by S&P500 FUT.

If in any condition – 2045 is breached, it can drop to 2010.

On 26th, it is a holiday on occasion of Thanksgiving day.

On 27th, market shall recover.

Venus shall move to Libra on 30th. This may bring a bullish pattern in equities. However 30th may start with a weakness followed by rapid recovery / bullish trend from 1st December.

The next week seems overall bullish for equities.

Blue-chip stocks could be bought as we are really bullish about them in month of December 2015.

FOLLOWING STOCKS ARE RECOMMENDED TO BUY:

MICROSOFT, ALPHABET, APPLE, FACEBOOK, ALIBABA, JP MORGAN, FORD, GE, PFIZER.
Pharmaceutical stocks (such as PFIZER) shall be more positive for short term from 23rd.

PRECIOUS METALS

Gold made a low of 1062 last week and Silver made a low of 13.95. Gold went up to 1087 while Silver went up to 14.40. Gold closed at 1077 while Silver closed at 14.13.

On Monday, recovery shall be seen from lower levels.

Tuesday shall be a positive day for precious metals. This positivity shall last till Wednesday’s US opening.

And then it shall be back to bearish trend till Thursday. On Friday, recovery is expected.

You can build short position on Wednesday at higher levels (1092-1095: GOLD & 14.50-14.75: SILVER) and cover short position by Friday. By Friday, Gold and Silver can retest lower levels of 1062 and 14.

On Friday, market will recover and closing may prove to be positive.

In next week, Venus shall enter Libra. Market shall enter bullish pattern.

By December 2015, we may see GOLD around 1180 and SILVER around 16.00.

Technically, if Gold breaks 1062, a sharp selling may be observed which may take it down to 1050-1045. However as per astrology, this level shall not be breached.

CRUDE OIL

Crude Oil made a low of 39.90 in the last week and a high of 41.00.

On Monday-Tuesday, positive trend is expected.

Wednesday’s US opening to Thursday shall be bearish for price of crude oil.

On Friday, positive trend is expected.

In next week, crude oil seems to be positive.

By first week of December, it shall cross $45/bbl.

EUR/USD

EUR/USD shall be positive on Monday and Tuesday.

On Wednesday after US opening, it shall decline.

From Friday, recovery is expected in EUR/USD.

In next week as well, EUR/USD shall remain in bullish pattern.

1.0600 is a strong level that we don’t expect to breach.

In first half of the week, it may move up to 1.0750-1.0800.

You can long EUR/USD on Monday.

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Indian market as expected saw the low of 7720 for Nifty Fut and then recovered to 7935. Nifty Fut closed at 7889 while BANK NIFTY closed at 17150 last weekend.

In this week, Monday could prove to be slightly uncertain still closing shall be positive.

On Tuesday, uncertain / bearish trend is expected.

On Wednesday, market shall remain closed.

On Thursday, weakness may be seen.

At the higher level, Nifty can go up to 7940.

If it sustains above 7950, more of bullish trend is expected.

On the lower side, Nifty Fut can drop to 7750-7720 by Thursday. On Friday, recovery shall be seen from lower levels and market shall again be positive.

In next week, market shall be bullish with volatility.

TRADING STRATEGY: Build short position in Nifty Fut @ 7940 and long Nifty Fut around 7720.

TRADING RANGE:

  • NIFTY FUT: 7800-7940
  • BANK NIFTY: 16800-17250

This week seems to be supportive for following stocks (BUY ON DIPS):

  • ONGC
  • ICICI BANK
  • ARVIND MILLS
  • YES BANK
  • CENTURY TEXTILE
  • GAIL
  • TATA MOTORS

Positional traders can long pharmaceutical stocks such as SUN PHARMA, DISHMAN PHARMA, DR REDDY, TORRENT PHARMA for short term. In coming days, pharmaceutical sector shall see boost.

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Weekly Newsletter : 16th to 20th November 2015 | Prediction for equities, commodities, bonds, FOREX

Weekly Newsletter (16th– 20th November 2015)

Planetary conditions this week:

In this week, Moon shall be in Sagittarius- Capricorn -Aquarius. On 17th, Sun and Mercury shall enter Scorpio and will form a conjunction with Saturn.

Global Stock Indices

In last week, S&P 500 FUT closed at 2012 while DOW FUT closed at 17158. If 2000 is not breached, S&P500 FUT can shoot up to 2035-2045. Trend shall be positive on Monday and Tuesday. On Wednesday-Friday, market shall be in bearish trend. It is possible that market opens slightly positive on Wednesday but closing shall be highly bearish. More of bearishness is expected on Thursday-Friday.

S&P500 can close below 1980 in this week.

For the week beginning on 23rd, Monday shall be positive followed by weakness.

The low of market may be made on 20th / 23rd November and market shall bounce back for a positional bullish trend with some volatility.

Venus is currently in debilitated sign Virgo since 3rd November 2015 till 30th November 2015. Market shall prove to be overall downward till 30th November 2015.

On 30th, as Venus enters Libra – market shall experience a significant bullish move which will start in December and continue till January’s first half.

Strategy for this week: Make short position at higher level or TUESDAY (whichever comes first).

TRADING RANGE:

  • DOW (FUT): 17150-17280
  • S&P 500 (FUT):2010-2035+
  • NASDAQ (FUT): 4470-4510
  • FTSE (FUT):6020-6140
  • CAC(FUT):4750-4840
  • DAX(FUT):10620-10780
  • AEX(FUT):450-460
  • HENG SENG(FUT):21900-22400

PRECIOUS METALS

Gold made a low of 1072 last week. It closed at 1083. Silver made a low of 14.10 and closed at 14.20.

Monday seems to be positive – this positivity may continue till Tuesday. On the higher side, Gold can go up to 1088-1092 while Silver can go up to 14.50.  Sharp fall is indicated on Thursday-Friday.

Gold and Silver shall make its low by 20th / 23rd November 2015.

Again from 18th, sharp fall is expected.

Downside move shall continue till Friday.

In this week, closing can be below 1070-1060 for Gold and below 14 for Silver.

It is advisable to make short position from Tuesday.

On 23rd, recovery may be observed in price of bullion. Venus will enter Libra on 30th, bullion shall witness a considerable positive rally in bullion – a rise of $100-150/Oz in price of Gold and $2/Oz in price of Silver.

 

TRADING RANGE:

  • GOLD: 1075-1088
  • SILVER:14.10-14.50

INDUSTRIAL METALS

Copper and other base metals shall follow the trend in bullion.

TRADING RANGE:

– COPPER: 2.15-2.19

ENERGY PRODUCTS

CRUDE OIL

Crude Oil breached $42/bbl and closed at $40.74/bbl. On Monday, some recovery is indicated which may last till Tuesday. It shall then drop after Tuesday and remain weak / bearish till Friday.

On the upper side, it can go up to 41.50-42.00. On the lower side, it can drop and re-test 38.

On 30th November, when Venus moves to Libra, Crude oil shall experience a bullish rally.

NG

NG shall be in mixed trend for this week. Monday-Tuesday shall be negative while Wednesday-Friday shall be positive.

TRADING RANGE:

  • CRUDE: 40.50-41.50
  • NG: 2.40-2.30

CURRENCY PAIRS

EURO

EUR/USD shall be positive on Monday. 1.0800-1.0850 can be touched by EUR/USD. Wednesday onwards, negative trend is expected. By Friday, it may drop to 1.0600 or below.

Around Tuesday’s eve, you are expected to make short position and hold till Friday for the mentioned target.

On 20th / 23rd November, the low of EUR/USD shall be made and then it shall bounce back towards a positive trend.

USD/INR

USD/INR (SPOT) can move down to 65.70-65.80 in the first two days of the week. Wednesday onwards, positive trend is expected. By Friday, it shall shoot up to 66.50.

DOLLAR INDEX

Dollar index shall be negative on Monday and Tuesday. On the lower side, it can drop to 98.40-98.00. From Wednesday, positive trend is expected. By Friday, it may re-test level of 100.

High shall be made by 20th / 23rd November 2015 and then dollar index shall be ready for a correction / short term drop till 95 by December 2015.

TRADING RANGE:

  • EUR/USD: 1.0720-1.0840
  • USD/INR: 66.20-65.80
  • DOLLAR INDEX:99.00-98.60

US TREASURY BONDS

US 10 Year Treasury bonds shall be positive for Monday and Tuesday. On the higher side, it can move up to 2.20+. Wednesday onwards, negative trend is expected. This shall continue till Friday.

On Thursday-Friday, sharp decline is expected. On the lower side, bonds can drop to 2.40+.

On 20th / 23rd November, low of bonds shall be made.

TRADING RANGE:

US 10 YR TREASURY: 2.30-2.20

INDIAN STOCK MARKET

Indian market shall be positive on Monday – recovery is indicated from lower levels.

On Tuesday, mixed to positive trend may be observed.  By Tuesday, Nifty may go up to 7850-7900.

With a stop loss of 7700, you can long Nifty Fut for the said target.

On 17th, you can make short position at higher level or closing and hold this position till Friday.

More of bearishness is expected on Thursday-Friday.

On the lower side, Nifty can drop to 7600-7500.

TRADING RANGE:

  • NIFTY FUT: 7720-7800
  • BANK NIFTY: 16700-17100

BUY:

  • YES BANK
  • AXIS BANK
  • MARUTI
  • COAL INDIA
  • DISH TV
  • ASHOK LEYLAND

Authors: Rajeev Prakash Agarwal & Shashi Prakash Agarwal | Sent @ 11/15/2015 12:23 PM
Disclaimer: The view contained in this report is for educational purpose only. Decision to trade remains with investors and hence, neither MADPL nor any of its associate shall be liable for any losses / profits gained.

S&P500 dips as expected. What is next?

As expected, S&P500 made a low of 2038. This was mentioned in the weekly newsletter posted on our website.

It is advisable to cover short position and make long position with stop loss 2020 for target 2065-2080.

It is suggested that you should book profit in long position of S&p500 today itself.

European and Asian market shall recover.

Asian opening could be positive on Monday. Tuesday onwards, Asian market shall be negative.

Diwali ‘Muhurat’ Stocks

It is the muhurat trading day, you can buy the

following stocks (in delivery) and expect a

return of about 20 to 30 percent in first quarter:

– TORRENT POWER

– PIPAVAV DEFENCE

– GRUH FINANCE

– JP POWER

– YES BANK

– SOUTH INDIAN BANK

– ZEE

– TATA COFFEE

Happy Diwali Gift For Visitors

HAPPY DIWALI

Daily Newsletter (10th November 2015)

Global Stock Indices

S&P500 experienced profit booking at 2096 and dipped to 2065. With stop loss of 2054, make long position in S&P500 FUT for target 2095-2100+.

I feel that a good news may come up in the market that may boost the trend by next day.

However, you should be alert that S&P500 FUT may again drop when it reaches2100 so you should book profit in long position at mentioned levels.

Thursday onwards, a sharp decline may be observed.

You can buy MICROSOFT, APPLE, ALIBABA and FORD for intraday.

Overall, the market is weak till 28th November 2015. In this time frame, S&P500 FUT may go up to 2120 and on the lower side, It may break 1950.

TRADING RANGE:

  • DOW (FUT): 17,620-17,850+
  • S&P 500 (FUT):2065-2095+
  • NASDAQ (FUT): 4630-4710
  • FTSE (FUT):6275-6330
  • CAC(FUT):4905-4990
  • DAX(FUT):10780-10980
  • AEX(FUT):462-470
  • HENG SENG(FUT):22250-22650

 

 

PRECIOUS METALS

Last day, we had mentioned that we are not very sure of the trend on 9th and 10th. For today, we don’t have a very clear view – if the market will move up or not. But a positive trend is expected to start from next day. Gold made a low of 1088 while Silver made a low of 14.40.  Those wishing to trade safe can wait for next day to accumulate long position. Positional traders can buy 50% (GOLD @ 1088-1092 & SILVER @ 14.40-14.50). For rest position, they can wait for tomorrow.  Wednesday-Thursday may prove to be highly positive for precious metals. This positivity may continue till 17th.

TRADING RANGE:

  • GOLD: 1085-1098
  • SILVER:14.20-14.70

INDUSTRIAL METALS

Buy Copper @ 2.20-2.21 and hold for next week.  Copper and other base metals shall start moving up from next day. This positivity shall continue with bullion.

TRADING RANGE:

– COPPER: 2.20-2.25

ENERGY PRODUCTS

CRUDE OIL

Crude made a low of 43.75 last day. Today, it may re-test 43.75-43.50.  Around 43-43.50, you can long crude oil as from next day, we are expecting a positive trend. Crude shall be more positive and continue in positivity for next week.

12th onwards, crude oil shall appear to be more bullish.

NG

NG shall be moving upward for the day. It is advisable to long NG @ 2.25 for target 2.45.

TRADING RANGE:

  • CRUDE: 43-45.50
  • NG: 2.26-2.35

CURRENCY PAIRS

EURO

Buy EUR/USD @ 1.0680-1.0720 for target 1.1050. Next day onwards, positive trend is expected.

USD/INR

USD/INR shall make a top this Monday.

Tuesday onwards, trend shall reverse for USD/INR.

On Monday, 66.50 can be touched by USD/INR. It is advisable to book profit in long position and enter into short position with stop loss 67.

By Friday, it shall drop to 65.50-65.20.

NOTE: We entered into short position for USD/INR last day @ 66.50.

DOLLAR INDEX

A high has been made in dollar index. In the next 36 hours, a news may cause a big fall in price of dollar index. It may drop down to 97 or lower.

TRADING RANGE:

  • EUR/USD: 1.0680-1.0780
  • USD/INR: 66.50-66.20
  • DOLLAR INDEX:99.45-98.80

US TREASURY BONDS

Make long position in treasury bonds @ 2.33-2.35 for target 2.10.

TRADING RANGE:

US 10 YR TREASURY: 2.35-2.28

INDIAN STOCK MARKET

Last day, owing to Bihar elections, Nifty made a low of 7790 and Bank Nifty made a low of 16620. As expected, market eventually bounced back proving our prediction correct. Nifty (Fut) made a high of 7952 and Bank Nifty made a high of 17175. Intraday profit had been booked in long position.

Market may open in gap down trend. After 30 minutes of opening, recovery may be observed. With ups and downs, this may last till closing.

It should be noted that VENUS-Rahu combination may be bad for equities till 28th November 2015. Nifty may drop to 7700 in this time frame.

Do not carry forward long position for next day.

At closing hour, positional traders can build a small quantity of short position in Nifty and Bank Nifty.

TRADING RANGE:

NIFTY FUT: 7850-7990

BANK NIFTY: 16800-17200

SELL:

  • HINDALCO
  • TATA STEEL
  • ICICI BANK

BUY:

  • TATA MOTORS
  • MARUTI
  • TVS MOTORS
  • ARVIND MILLS
  • HTC
  • UB HOLDINGS
  • LIC HOUSING

Authors: Rajeev Prakash Agarwal & Shashi Prakash Agarwal | Sent @ 11/10/2015 7:57 AM

Market Prediction for 9th to 13th November 2015: S&P500 to cross 2110

Global Stock Indices

Last week, S&P500 made a low of 2082 and then closed at 2093. On Monday, positive trend is expected. For once by Tuesday, it can shoot up-to 2120. On Tuesday-Wednesday, volatility is expected. On Thursday, declining trend is expected. 2080 can be breached for once. It can dip to 2060.

On Friday, closing shall be positive. It may recover back to the level of 2100-2120.

Strategy: Close long position and build short position in S&P500 FUT @ 2120. You can cover this short position around Thursday’s closing. You can enter in long position here.

By Friday’s closing, you should close your long position and enter into short position as in next week, a highly bearish trend is expected (especially on Monday, 16th).

PRECIOUS METALS

Monday and Tuesday of previous week were bearish as expected. However, the expected bounce back on 4th and 5th didn’t come up. Price of bullion remained range bound and couldn’t come up.

On Friday, post NON-FARM PAYROLL announcement, bullion breached major support levels (Gold breached 1100 and dropped down to 1084 & closed at 1089 | Silver made a low of 14.68 & closed at 14.72). Venus-Rahu conjunction caused the major fall in price of bullion last week.

In this week, it is the Mars-Rahu conjunction, which will boost the price of gold and silver.

However on Monday, bullion may take a slight dip and then bounce back.

If the level of 1080 is breached, Gold can drop to 1070. If a dip is seen in Silver, it may drop to 14.50.

On Tuesday, bullion shall continue in positive pattern.

For Monday-Tuesday, we aren’t very sure.

From Wednesday, bullion is sure to move up.

12th November seems a bullish day. This positivity shall continue till Friday.

For next week as well, this bullishness may continue.

On 17th November 2015, a highly bullish trend is expected in price of bullion.

Overall opinion: Bullion can witness a big up move till 17th November.

Hence, it is advisable to skip short position at lower levels.

On 18th, market may reverse and bullion may end up the negative side of trend.

Bullion shall then enter a bearish cycle which may continue till 27th.

Note: In current week (9th to 13th November 2015): we are expecting a more bullish trend in Silver with respect to Gold. Wait for 17th to make short position at higher level.

USD/INR

USD/INR shall make a top this Monday.

Tuesday onwards, trend shall reverse for USD/INR.

On Monday, 66.50 can be touched by USD/INR. It is advisable to book profit in long position and enter into short position with stop loss 67.

By Friday, it shall drop to 65.50-65.20.

BIHAR ELECTIONS

Coming to Bihar elections, our analysis was slightly misinterpreted in the result. We had taken Nitish Kumar’s horoscope into consideration, which seemed to be weak.
It should be noted that RJD (80)+ JDU (71)s alliance has emerged as the victorious alliance with more share coming from Lalu Prasad Yadav . This shall deter Nitish Kumar from independent action in interest of Bihar’s development. In next 6-12 months, it will be clearly visible how effectively this alliance serves the purpose as Bihar’s ruling government.
Since, Saturn is in Scorpio. Result of elections has not been in favor of Mr. Modi. This shall last till 2017 and Saturn may affect the results of elections.

INDIAN STOCK MARKET

Indian market shall open gap down with effect of Bihar’s election results. Around 10.00 HRS IST, market may recover. It could enter positive trend. From 13.30 HRS to 15.00 HRS IST, it could decline.

And in the last 1 hour of market, recovery is expected.

On Tuesday, mixed to positive trend is expected.

Wednesday-Thursday are closed on occasion of Diwali.

On Friday, market can witness bearishness.

If NIFTY FUT drops below 7950, it can drop to 7880-7850. Market shall take U turn from 10.00 HRS IST. If BANK NIFTY drops below 16900, it can drop to 16700-16500.

TRADING RANGE:

NIFTY FUT: 7850-7990

BANK NIFTY: 16800-17200

SELL:

  • TATA STEEL
  • JSW STEEL
  • L&T
  • TATA MOTORS

BUY:

  • INFOSYS
  • HUL
  • UNITED SPIRIT
  • PC JEWELLERS

Market move after ‘NON FARM PAYROLL ANNOUNCEMENT’

Global Stock Indices

S&P500 made a low of 2084. We have been indicating that market may move towards weakness on 4th and 5th. Today, it is the non-farm payroll announcement. At most, S&P500 can make a low of 2080. From this point, market will move upward. Next week – Monday and Tuesday seems bullish.

With ups and downs, bullishness may be experienced in next week if market moves positive after announcement of data.

In next week, S&P 500 can cross 2120.

At lower levels, you are advised to long S&P500. It is Gachch Kesari Yog forming  today, which will help market in upward trend.

TRADING RANGE:

  • DOW (FUT): 17,720-17,950
  • S&P 500 (FUT):2080-2115
  • NASDAQ (FUT): 4670-4735
  • FTSE (FUT):6300-6380
  • CAC(FUT):4930-5010
  • DAX(FUT):10800-11000
  • AEX(FUT):460-478
  • HENG SENG(FUT):22650-22950

PRECIOUS METALS

Last day, we mentioned that trend near 2nd October is being repeated again. Today, after announcement of data, bullion is expected to move up.

You are advised to be cautious with stop loss.

If it moves up after announcement of data, it shall be bullish with volatility till 17th November 2015. With a stop loss of 1098, make long position in Gold & 14.70, make long position in Silver.

MCX traders shall make long position with stop loss of 200 points (in Gold) & 500 points (in Silver) from the price before data announcement. Stop loss of 25670 in Gold & 35200 was given which weren’t triggered. Update the stop loss for Silver to 34900.

TRADING RANGE:

  • GOLD: 1101-1134
    • SILVER: 14.80-15.40

CRUDE OIL

Crude Oil shall be range bound for the day. It shall not breach $44/bbl. In next week as well, positive trend shall be observed.12th to 17th : crude shall be highly bullish. It can reach $48/bbl.

NG

We had forecasted positive trend in NG. NG moved up by 5%.

It is a supportive day. If NG sustains above 2.40, it shall continue to be bullish for next week.

 

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